Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wisla vs Pogon Siedlce

Poland Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Giger R.
41' Event
Biedrzycki W.
Assist: Omic E.
60'
Sub
Omic E. In: Sanchez J.
Out: Omic E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2025/2026 game between Wisla and Pogon Siedlce finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wisla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Wisla
6%
Draws
4%
Pogon Siedlce
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wisla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogon Siedlce haven't matched Wisla's recent run of results.
  • Wisla are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Wisla here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Wisla Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wisla Pogon Siedlce
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 10 5
Draws 13 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Division 1
Wisla vs Pogon Siedlce
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Wisla
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Division 1
Wisla vs Pogon Siedlce
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Wisla
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wisla Compare

Top Goalscorer Biedrzycki W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bozic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wisla 85 / 100
Pogon Siedlce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wisla Pogon Siedlce

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wisla found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Pogon Siedlce has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Wisla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wisla VS Pogon Siedlce
2 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wisla342011372:3271
2Slask Wroclaw341711669:4762
3KS Wieczysta Krakow34169970:4757
4Chrobry Glogow341671148:3655
5LKS Lodz341591056:4854
6Polonia Warszawa341581152:4953
7Ruch Chorzow341411954:4653
8Legnica341571252:5352
9Puszcza341213945:4049
10Polonia Bytom341381356:5047
11Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3411121151:5445
12Odra Opole3411111234:4044
13S. Rzeszow341271549:6043
14Stal Mielec341061851:6236
15Pogon Siedlce34991633:4336
16Pruszkow34772040:6828
17Leczna345121739:6227
18Tychy34582140:7423