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Wislanie Skawina vs Jaroslaw - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Gadek D.
15' Event
Durda K.
28' Event
Durda K.

AI Match Summary

Wislanie Skawina in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wislanie Skawina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Wislanie Skawina
20%
Draws
29%
Jaroslaw
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wislanie Skawina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Wislanie Skawina haven't matched Jaroslaw's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Wislanie Skawina a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Wislanie Skawina have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Wislanie Skawina Clean Sheet 10%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wislanie Skawina Jaroslaw
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.39 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Wislanie Skawina vs Jaroslaw
3:1
May 30, 2018 III Liga - Group IV
Jaroslaw vs Wislanie Skawina
2:0
Oct 28, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Wislanie Skawina vs Jaroslaw
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wislanie Skawina Compare

Top Goalscorer Durda K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gadek D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Jaroslaw Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wislanie Skawina 65 / 100
Jaroslaw 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wislanie Skawina Jaroslaw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wislanie Skawina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jaroslaw conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Wislanie Skawina found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Wislanie Skawina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wislanie Skawina VS Jaroslaw
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wislanie Skawina

(Home)
09 Oct
Wislanie Skawina
4 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
03 Oct
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
1 : 0
Wislanie Skawina
25 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
1 : 2
Wisloka Debica
20 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1
Jaroslaw
Page 1 of 6

Jaroslaw

(Away)
10 Oct
Wisla II
2 : 1
Jaroslaw
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1
Jaroslaw
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)