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Wislanie Skawina vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Morawski N.
10' Event
Dynarek D.
24' Event
Durda K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV game between Wislanie Skawina and Siarka Tarnobrzeg finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wislanie Skawina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Wislanie Skawina
20%
Draws
29%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wislanie Skawina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Wislanie Skawina have managed 1.39 goals a game lately — Siarka Tarnobrzeg are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Win probability leans Wislanie Skawina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Wislanie Skawina have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Wislanie Skawina Clean Sheet 18%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wislanie Skawina Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Wislanie Skawina vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
4:1
Nov 22, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Wislanie Skawina vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wislanie Skawina
1:3
May 10, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wislanie Skawina
9:0
Oct 9, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Wislanie Skawina vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wislanie Skawina Compare

Top Goalscorer Morawski N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dynarek D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Jozefiak K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wislanie Skawina 85 / 100
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wislanie Skawina Siarka Tarnobrzeg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wislanie Skawina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Wislanie Skawina scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Wislanie Skawina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wislanie Skawina VS Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wislanie Skawina

(Home)
09 Oct
Wislanie Skawina
4 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
03 Oct
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
1 : 0
Wislanie Skawina
25 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
1 : 2
Wisloka Debica
20 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1
Jaroslaw
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Siarka Tarnobrzeg

(Away)
09 Oct
Wislanie Skawina
4 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2
Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0
Biala Podlaska
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 11 8 3 0 18:5 27
2 Wisloka Debica 11 7 1 3 16:13 22
3 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
4 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
5 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
6 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 11 5 5 1 16:9 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
10 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
11 Busko-Zdroj 11 4 2 5 17:21 14
12 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
13 Biala Podlaska 11 3 3 5 10:13 12
14 Korona Kielce II 11 3 2 6 23:27 11
15 Star Starachowice 11 2 5 4 13:17 11
16 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 11 3 2 6 10:14 11
17 Moravia Morawica 11 2 2 7 13:22 8
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 11 2 1 8 11:21 7
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)