Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026

Wisloka Debica

1 - 2

Chelmianka Chelm

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Jablonski M.

42'

Kulon D.

75'

Krawczun H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Wisloka Debica and Chelmianka Chelm finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chelmianka Chelm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Wisloka Debica

39%

Draws

31%

Chelmianka Chelm

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Chelmianka Chelm carry the better recent record into this one.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Wisloka Debica Clean Sheet 11%

Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wisloka Debica	Chelmianka Chelm
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	16
Draws	11	8
Losses	8	6
Goals Scored	1.13	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group IV

Wisloka Debica vs Chelmianka Chelm

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group IV

Chelmianka Chelm vs Wisloka Debica

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Mar 8, 2025 III Liga - Group IV

Chelmianka Chelm vs Wisloka Debica

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Aug 17, 2024 III Liga - Group IV

Wisloka Debica vs Chelmianka Chelm

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 3 - 0

1:3

Mar 9, 2024 III Liga - Group IV

Wisloka Debica vs Chelmianka Chelm

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wisloka Debica Compare

Top Goalscorer Kulon D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Chelmianka Chelm Compare

Top Goalscorer Jablonski M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Krawczun H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wisloka Debica 29 / 100

Chelmianka Chelm 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wisloka Debica Chelmianka Chelm

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wisloka Debica found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Chelmianka Chelm has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Wisloka Debica has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wisloka Debica VS Chelmianka Chelm

1.13 Goals Scored 1.88

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	34	23	8	3	84:35	77
2	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	22	8	4	66:30	74
3	Chelmianka Chelm	34	21	9	4	65:31	72
4	Korona Kielce II	34	18	4	12	66:59	58
5	Star Starachowice	34	15	10	9	51:43	55
6	Czarni Polaniec	34	16	5	13	59:49	53
7	Biala Podlaska	34	14	10	10	60:48	52
8	Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow	34	14	9	11	61:45	51
9	Wislanie Skawina	34	15	6	13	52:51	51
10	Wisla II	34	15	4	15	67:58	49
11	Wisloka Debica	34	12	12	10	37:35	48
12	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	34	11	10	13	59:52	43
13	Naprzod Jedrzejow	34	11	5	18	45:55	38
14	Kolbuszowa Dolna	34	11	4	19	36:54	37
15	Stal Krasnik	34	9	7	18	42:52	34
16	Cracovia II	34	9	6	19	44:71	33
17	Swidniczanka Swidnik	34	5	4	25	35:80	19
18	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	34	4	1	29	29:110	13