Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Woking vs Sutton

England England

National League Kingfield Stadium, Woking
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Mussa O.
18'
Folarin S.
27' Event
Nightingale W.
Assist: Urpens D.

AI Match Summary

Sutton in this National League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Woking
30%
Draws
23%
Sutton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Woking

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sutton have won more games recently than Woking.
  • Woking are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Woking Clean Sheet 20%
Sutton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Woking Sutton
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League
Woking vs Sutton
0:3
Feb 17, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Woking
2:1
Sep 23, 2025 National League
Woking vs Sutton
1:1
May 5, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Woking
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 National League
Woking vs Sutton
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Woking Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sutton Compare

Top Goalscorer Nightingale W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mussa O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Woking 85 / 100
Sutton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Woking Sutton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Woking Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Woking stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Sutton has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Woking VS Sutton
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Woking

(Home)
19 Sept
Woking
0 : 0
Kidderminster
15 Sept
Boston United
1 : 1
Woking
12 Sept
Woking
5 : 1
Altrincham
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1
Southampton U21
05 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 0
Woking
Page 1 of 6

Sutton

(Away)
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Sutton
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2
Birmingham U21
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 9 7 2 0 23:11 23
2 Southend 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Kidderminster 9 5 3 1 13:7 18
4 AFC Fylde 9 5 2 2 20:13 17
5 Harrogate 9 5 1 3 20:16 16
6 Sutton 9 5 1 3 10:10 16
7 Yeovil 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
8 Aldershot 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
9 Hornchurch 9 5 0 4 11:12 15
10 Altrincham 9 5 0 4 12:15 15
11 Worthing FC 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
12 Eastleigh 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
13 Halifax 9 4 1 4 14:11 13
14 Forest Green 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
15 Boston United 9 3 2 4 13:13 11
16 Carlisle 9 2 4 3 16:14 10
17 Barrow 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
18 Woking 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
19 Hartlepool 9 3 0 6 7:11 9
20 Wealdstone 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
21 Tamworth 9 2 2 5 16:23 8
22 Scunthorpe 9 2 1 6 11:15 7
23 Solihull Moors 9 1 1 7 9:23 4
24 Gateshead 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)