Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Woking vs Sutton

England England

National League Kingfield Stadium, Woking
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Mussa O.
18'
Folarin S.
27' Event
Nightingale W.
Assist: Urpens D.

AI Match Summary

Sutton in this National League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Woking
15%
Draws
65%
Sutton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Woking have won more games recently than Sutton.
  • Sutton are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Woking Clean Sheet 20%
Sutton Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Woking Sutton
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.64 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League
Woking vs Sutton
0:3
Feb 17, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Woking
2:1
Sep 23, 2025 National League
Woking vs Sutton
1:1
May 5, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Woking
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 National League
Woking vs Sutton
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Woking Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sutton Compare

Top Goalscorer Nightingale W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mussa O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Woking 20 / 100
Sutton 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Woking Sutton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Woking scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Woking remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Woking VS Sutton
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Woking

(Home)
25 Jul
Woking
0 : 2
Reading
21 Jul
Braintree
1 : 0
Woking
14 Jul
Woking
1 : 2
Portsmouth
11 Jul
Sholing
1 : 2
Woking
25 Apr
Woking
0 : 1
Halifax
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Sutton

(Away)
01 Aug
Sutton
3 : 2
Southampton U21
28 Jul
Sutton
2 : 1
Folkestone
25 Jul
Sutton
2 : 0
Horsham FC
21 Jul
Sutton
1 : 1
Walton & Hersham
18 Jul
Sutton
1 : 2
AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scunthorpe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Carlisle 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Hartlepool 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Southend 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Yeovil 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Aldershot 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Altrincham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Forest Green 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Halifax 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Kidderminster 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Woking 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Barrow 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Eastleigh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Sutton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Boston United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Harrogate 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Solihull Moors 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Tamworth 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Gateshead 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Wealdstone 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
21 Hornchurch 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
22 Boreham Wood 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
23 Worthing FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
24 AFC Fylde 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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