Sport Picks
Wolfsburg vs Bayern Munich
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg 
Match Events
36'
36'
Kane H.
Penalty Missed
46'
46'
Sub
Kim Min-Jae In: Upamecano D.
Out: Kim Min-Jae
46'
46'
Sub
Goretzka L. In: Laimer K.
Out: Goretzka L.
AI Match Summary
Bayern Munich in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayern Munich.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayern Munich
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bayern Munich have won more games recently than Wolfsburg.
- Win probability leans Bayern Munich's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Bayern Munich have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Wolfsburg Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern Munich Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wolfsburg | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 25 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 3.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 3.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Bayern Munich
0:1
Jan 11, 2026 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg
8:1
Jan 18, 2025 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg
3:2
Aug 25, 2024 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Bayern Munich
2:3
May 12, 2024 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wolfsburg Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Bayern Munich Compare
Top Goalscorer Olise M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wolfsburg 10 / 100
Bayern Munich 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wolfsburg Bayern Munich
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bayern Munich Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Wolfsburg scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Bayern Munich conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Solid form: Wolfsburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Wolfsburg VS Bayern Munich
2.75 Goals Scored 4.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Wolfsburg
(Home) 18 Sept
Wolfsburg
5 : 1 Darmstadt
12 Sept
St. Pauli
1 : 0 Wolfsburg
05 Sept
Wolfsburg
4 : 4 Energie Cottbus
29 Aug
Karlsruher
2 : 5 Wolfsburg
24 Aug
Altglienicke
3 : 4 Wolfsburg
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Wolfsburg
5 : 1 Darmstadt
05 Sept
Wolfsburg
4 : 4 Energie Cottbus
08 Aug
Wolfsburg
0 : 0 Kaiserslautern
31 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 1 Telstar
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2 Lyon
Page 1 of 3
Bayern Munich
(Away) 18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0 Union Berlin
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2 Bayern Munich
10 Sept
Bayern Munich
5 : 0 Bodo/Glimt
05 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0 Bayern Munich
02 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 4 Bayern Munich
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2 Bayern Munich
05 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0 Bayern Munich
02 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 4 Bayern Munich
22 Aug
Dortmund
1 : 2 Bayern Munich
18 Aug
Heidenheim
2 : 4 Bayern Munich
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
