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Wollongong vs Rockdale Ilinden

Australia Australia

NPL NSW WIN Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wollongong play Rockdale Ilinden in the NPL NSW. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wollongong averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Rockdale Ilinden averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Wollongong won 0, Rockdale Ilinden won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Wollongong and 1.31 for Rockdale Ilinden. This points to a Rockdale Ilinden double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Wollongong
6%
Draws
90%
Rockdale Ilinden
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rockdale Ilinden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rockdale Ilinden has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Wollongong.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Rockdale Ilinden.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL NSW provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 18%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wollongong Rockdale Ilinden
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Rockdale Ilinden
2:2
Jun 21, 2025 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:3
Mar 8, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Wollongong
1:1
Aug 4, 2024 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:2
Apr 28, 2024 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Wollongong
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wollongong Compare

Top Goalscorer Madden F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Rockdale Ilinden Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiggin O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Najjar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wollongong 10 / 100
Rockdale Ilinden 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wollongong Rockdale Ilinden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wollongong scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Rockdale Ilinden let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Wollongong went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Rockdale Ilinden lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wollongong VS Rockdale Ilinden
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions22164242:1452
2APIA Leichhardt22153445:2648
3Sydney Utd22143533:1745
4Rockdale Ilinden22113836:3136
5Sutherland Sharks22112935:2835
6Sydney FC U2322104831:3234
7Wollongong2295824:2632
8Western Sydney Wanderers U212285942:3129
9NWS Spirit22841024:2628
10Manly Utd2276923:2827
11SD Raiders22751029:3626
12UNSW22741130:3525
13St. George City2267922:3525
14Blacktown City22471127:3819
15St George Saints22611521:3619
16Sydney Olympic22431522:4715