Sport Picks
Wollongong vs Sydney Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW WIN Stadium, Wollongong 
Match Events
40'
40'
Yamamura K.
58'
58'
Krslovic M.
90'
90'
Krslovic M.
AI Match Summary
The NPL NSW game between Wollongong and Sydney Utd finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sydney Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wollongong
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Sydney Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Sydney Utd a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 11%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wollongong | Sydney Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Sydney Utd
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Wollongong
0:1
Jul 13, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Wollongong
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Sydney Utd
1:2
Jun 2, 2024 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Sydney Utd
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wollongong Compare
Top Goalscorer Yamamura K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Sydney Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Krslovic M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wollongong 27 / 100
Sydney Utd 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wollongong Sydney Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sydney Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wollongong found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Sydney Utd conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Wollongong remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Wollongong VS Sydney Utd
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Wollongong
(Home) 31 Oct
Wollongong
1 : 3 Queensland Lions
25 Oct
Wollongong
2 : 0 South Hobart
15 Oct
Preston Lions
0 : 1 Wollongong
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Wollongong
1 : 3 Queensland Lions
25 Oct
Wollongong
2 : 0 South Hobart
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
Page 1 of 3
Sydney Utd
(Away) 06 Nov
Canberra Croatia
2 : 1 Sydney Utd
31 Oct
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
23 Oct
South Melbourne
2 : 1 Sydney Utd
18 Oct
Sydney Utd
2 : 1 Canberra Croatia
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3 Sydney Utd
Page 1 of 7
06 Nov
Canberra Croatia
2 : 1 Sydney Utd
31 Oct
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
23 Oct
South Melbourne
2 : 1 Sydney Utd
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3 Sydney Utd
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
