Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wollongong vs Sydney Utd

Australia Australia

NPL NSW WIN Stadium, Wollongong
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Yamamura K.
58' Event
Krslovic M.
90' Event
Krslovic M.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Wollongong and Sydney Utd finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sydney Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Wollongong
15%
Draws
58%
Sydney Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sydney Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sydney Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sydney Utd a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 14%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wollongong Sydney Utd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Sydney Utd
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Wollongong
0:1
Jul 13, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Wollongong
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Sydney Utd
1:2
Jun 2, 2024 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Sydney Utd
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wollongong Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamamura K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sydney Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Krslovic M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wollongong 10 / 100
Sydney Utd 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wollongong Sydney Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sydney Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wollongong found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Sydney Utd has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Wollongong remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wollongong VS Sydney Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wollongong

(Home)
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4
Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2
Wollongong
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1
Wollongong
Page 1 of 6

Sydney Utd

(Away)
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3
Sydney Utd
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0
St George Saints
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0
APIA Leichhardt
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)