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Wolves U18 vs Derby U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League U18
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
1 - 2
10:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Lukic O.
38' Event
Clarke K.
Assist: Griffiths E.
73' Event
Morrison A.

AI Match Summary

Wolves U18 host Derby U18 in the Premier League U18. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Wolves U18 have averaged 1 scored and 2.39 conceded recently, against Derby U18's 1.89 scored and 2.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Derby U18 slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.69 - 2.31) back Derby U18 to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Wolves U18
15%
Draws
85%
Derby U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Derby U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Derby U18 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Derby U18 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Wolves U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wolves U18 Derby U18
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.39 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Premier League U18
Wolves U18 vs Derby U18
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Wolves U18
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Wolves U18
5:1
Sep 14, 2024 Premier League U18
Wolves U18 vs Derby U18
1:2
May 4, 2024 Premier League U18
Wolves U18 vs Derby U18
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wolves U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Morrison A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Derby U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukic O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clarke K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wolves U18 10 / 100
Derby U18 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wolves U18 Derby U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Derby U18 conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Wolves U18's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Away concern: Derby U18 has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wolves U18 VS Derby U18
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wolves U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Manchester United U18
6 : 0
Wolves U18
12 Sept
Wolves U18
0 : 4
Everton U18
29 Aug
Wolves U18
2 : 4
Liverpool U18
22 Aug
Leeds U18
2 : 1
Wolves U18
15 Aug
Wolves U18
0 : 2
Blackburn U18
Page 1 of 6

Derby U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3
Liverpool U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2
Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2
Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3
Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4
Burnley U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 6 6 0 0 26:8 18
2 Newcastle Utd U18 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
3 Manchester United U18 5 4 0 1 16:1 12
4 Nottingham U18 5 3 1 1 15:4 10
5 Liverpool U18 5 2 2 1 14:11 8
6 Burnley U18 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
7 Middlesbrough U18 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
8 Derby U18 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
9 Everton U18 5 2 0 3 11:12 6
10 Leeds U18 5 2 0 3 8:16 6
11 Blackburn U18 5 2 0 3 5:20 6
12 Stoke City U18 6 1 1 4 11:18 4
13 Leicester U18 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
14 Sunderland U18 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
15 Wolves U18 5 0 0 5 3:18 0
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U18 6 5 1 0 33:9 16
2 Chelsea U18 7 5 0 2 28:10 15
3 Southampton U18 6 4 0 2 21:12 12
4 Fulham U18 6 3 3 0 23:15 12
5 Arsenal U18 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
6 West Ham U18 6 3 1 2 16:15 10
7 Brighton U18 6 3 1 2 15:17 10
8 Ipswich U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
9 Brentford U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
10 Aston Villa U18 6 2 2 2 15:13 8
11 West Brom U18 6 2 1 3 5:14 7
12 Norwich U18 6 2 0 4 13:22 6
13 Bournemouth U18 6 1 2 3 14:22 5
14 Crystal Palace U18 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
15 Reading U18 7 1 1 5 9:25 4
16 Birmingham U18 6 1 0 5 6:22 3
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)