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Stadium Background

Wolves vs Port Vale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Cup Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Armstrong A.
26'
Lawrence-Gabriel J.
34' Event
Neto A.
Assist: Mosquera Y.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Wolves
20%
Draws
47%
Port Vale
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Port Vale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Wolves average 1.39 goals a game right now, well clear of Port Vale's 0.97.
  • Model gives Port Vale a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Wolves, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Wolves Clean Sheet 20%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wolves Port Vale
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.39 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 EFL Cup
Wolves vs Port Vale
3:0
Jul 23, 2016 Club Friendly
Port Vale vs Wolves
0:0
Mar 1, 2014 League One
Wolves vs Port Vale
3:0
Aug 31, 2013 League One
Port Vale vs Wolves
1:3
Jul 22, 2009 Club Friendly
Port Vale vs Wolves
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Armstrong A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neto A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Port Vale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wolves 28 / 100
Port Vale 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wolves Port Vale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Vale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wolves found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Port Vale has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Wolves stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wolves VS Port Vale
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wolves

(Home)
20 Oct
Wolves
1 : 1
Portsmouth
16 Oct
Burnley
1 : 2
Wolves
13 Oct
Wolves
1 : 3
Bolton
10 Oct
Middlesbrough
1 : 0
Wolves
20 Sept
Wolves
1 : 0
West Brom
Page 1 of 6

Port Vale

(Away)
20 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 1
Port Vale
17 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0
Chesterfield
10 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0
Grimsby
06 Oct
Port Vale
2 : 0
Mansfield
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1
Port Vale
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -