Sport Picks
Wolves vs Stoke City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton 
Match Events
2'
2'
Gallagher S.
15'
15'
Bae Jun-Ho
19'
19'
Gomes R.
AI Match Summary
The Championship game between Wolves and Stoke City finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wolves.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
20%
35%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wolves
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Wolves come out ahead of Stoke City on wins alone.
- Model gives Wolves a 45% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Wolves Clean Sheet 19%
Stoke City Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wolves | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Championship
Wolves vs Stoke City
4:1
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Stoke City vs Wolves
1:1
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
Stoke City vs Wolves
1:1
Sep 17, 2020 EFL Cup
Wolves vs Stoke City
0:1
Jul 25, 2018 Club Friendly
Stoke City vs Wolves
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wolves Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomes R.
2 Goals Assists Leader James J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Stoke City Compare
Top Goalscorer Gallagher S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wolves 49 / 100
Stoke City 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wolves Stoke City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wolves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Wolves stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Wolves found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Stoke City conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Wolves VS Stoke City
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Wolves
(Home) 04 Nov
Bristol City
1 : 2 Wolves
31 Oct
Wolves
3 : 0 Cardiff
24 Oct
Wolves
1 : 0 Watford
20 Oct
Wolves
1 : 1 Portsmouth
16 Oct
Burnley
1 : 2 Wolves
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Wolves
3 : 0 Cardiff
24 Oct
Wolves
1 : 0 Watford
20 Oct
Wolves
1 : 1 Portsmouth
13 Oct
Wolves
1 : 3 Bolton
20 Sept
Wolves
1 : 0 West Brom
Page 1 of 3
Stoke City
(Away) 03 Nov
Blackburn
1 : 2 Stoke City
31 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 0 Preston
24 Oct
Stoke City
0 : 0 Bristol City
17 Oct
Derby
0 : 1 Stoke City
13 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 3 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Blackburn
1 : 2 Stoke City
17 Oct
Derby
0 : 1 Stoke City
10 Oct
Bolton
1 : 2 Stoke City
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2 Stoke City
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolves | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 | West Brom | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
