Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Worcester vs Bourne

England England

FA Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Worcester in this FA Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Worcester
30%
Draws
39%
Bourne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bourne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Worcester lately — more wins on the board than Bourne.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Worcester have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Worcester, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Worcester Clean Sheet 16%
Bourne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worcester Bourne
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 12 2
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.27 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2009 FA Cup
Worcester vs Bourne
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worcester 36 / 100
Bourne 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worcester Bourne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bourne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worcester found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Bourne let in goals in 63% of their last 8 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Worcester remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Worcester VS Bourne
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Worcester

(Home)
31 Aug
Worcester
0 : 1
Bromsgrove
29 Aug
Leamington
1 : 1
Worcester
22 Aug
Worcester
1 : 0
Stamford
15 Aug
Leighton Town
2 : 1
Worcester
11 Aug
Alvechurch
3 : 1
Worcester
Page 1 of 6

Bourne

(Away)
29 Aug
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Bourne
06 Sept
Bourne
0 : 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
02 Sept
Shepshed
2 : 1
Bourne
30 Aug
Bourne
0 : 0
Shepshed
26 Jul
Lincoln Utd.
0 : 0
Bourne
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Hinckley -
TBD -
St Ives Town 1
Kirkley & Pakefield 2
Northampton Spencer 2
Godmanchester Rovers 1
Daventry 0
Cambridge City 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Histon -
Nuneaton 5
Brigg Town 0
Glapwell 0
Carlton Town 1
Market Drayton 2
Leamington 0
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Guiseley 2
Whitley Bay 0
Maine Road 1
Bamber Bridge 4
Ossett Town 1
Morpeth 0
FC Guisborough Town 1
Kendal 9
Halifax 4
Ancients 0
TBD -
Droylsden -
Horden 5
Durham 3
Hallam 0
Burscough 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alfreton -
TBD -
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Wulfrunians 3
Spennymoor 6
Ryton & Crawcrook 0
TBD -
Southport -
Workington -
TBD -
St Helens Town 1
Cammell Laird 3
Warrington Town 1
Nantwich 0
Woodley 0
Radcliffe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rushden -
Mansfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton 2
Winterton Rangers 1
Rossendale United 1
AFC Fylde 4
Harrogate -
TBD -
Bishop Auckland 1
Bradford PA 4
Hucknall 4
Blackstones 2
Dudley Sports 0
Rugby 6
Evesham 2
Tividale 1
Bromsgrove Rovers (inactive) 2
Stourbridge 4
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
Newcastle Blue Star -
Ossett Albion -
Hyde -
TBD -
Marine 1
Salford 2
Worcester -
TBD -
Boston Town 1
Bourne 3
Hereford Pegasus 4
Hednesford 1
TBD -
Telford -
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
TBD -
Long Buckby 4
Mildenhall 5
Corby -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastwood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Lincoln Utd. 3
Retford United 2
Garforth 0
Roofing 1
FC Congleton Town 6
Atherton Rovers 1
Worksop 2
Frickley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambridge Utd -
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Quorn 0
Mickleover 2
Stratford 1
Cradley Town 0
TBD -
Redditch -
Northwich Victoria -
TBD -
Barton Town 0
Bardon Hill Sports 5
Ashton United 3
Lancaster 0
Glossop North End 2
Chorley 3
Stalybridge -
TBD -
Clitheroe 0
Stocksbridge 2
North Ferriby United 2
Harrogate Railway 0
Sheffield FC 1
United of Manchester 3
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Chester City -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vauxhall -
TBD -
Bridlington Town 0
Whitby 1
Farsley -
TBD -
TBD -
Fleetwood Town -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry Sphinx 1
Rushall 0
TBD -
Stafford -
Rainworth 2
Holbrook 1
Causeway United 0
Bedworth United 3
Hendon 2
Marlow 0
Bognor Regis 1
Kingstonian 4
Badshot Lea 6
Lingfield 5
Crawley Down Gatwick 2
Ashford Town 3
Maidstone 2
Bedfont Sports 1
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Harefield United 3
Hythe 2
Faversham 1
TBD -
Woking -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
Molesey 2
Bashley 3
Hungerford 4
Bristol Manor Farm 0
TBD -
Dorchester -
Sutton Coldfield Town 6
Westfields 0
Sudbury 0
Needham Market 2
Boston United 4
Loughborough Dynamo 2
Dereham 1
Lowestoft 3
Farnborough 2
Hastings 1
Thamesmead 1
Windsor & Eton 2
St. Albans -
TBD -
Stanway Rovers 1
Heybridge 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Salisbury -
Mangotsfield 3
Wantage 0
Saltash United 10
Gillingham Town 12
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Bridport 1
Truro 8
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Crawley Town -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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AFC Wimbledon -
Oxford City 4
Kidlington 2
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Sholing 1
Abingdon 3
Highworth 0
North Leigh 1
Cirencester 2
Bedford 5
London Tigers 1
Castle Vale 1
Romulus 2
Matlock 3
Sleaford Town 2
King’s Lynn 0
Bury Town 2
Bromley -
TBD -
Royston Town 1
Flackwell Heath 2
Horsham FC -
Tooting & Mitcham -
Metropolitan Police 0
Tonbridge 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Halstead Town 4
Enfield FC 5
Worthing FC 1
Croydon Athletic 0
Chipstead 1
Dartford 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stevenage -
Aylesbury Vale 5
Erith Town 4
Northwood 2
Wingate & Finchley 6
Billericay 3
Hornchurch 0
Harrow Borough 1
Chesham 3
Lewes -
TBD -
Ashford United 0
Leatherhead 2
Boreham Wood 1
Walthamstow FC 0
Arlesey 1
Wealdstone 2
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
Guildford City 6
East Preston 7
East Thurrock Utd 4
Ware 1
TBD -
Welling -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine 0
Brackley 1
Witney Utd 5
Shortwood 4
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Walton Casuals 4
Chatham 2
Deal Town 1
Selsey 4
Sittingbourne 1
Folkestone 0
TBD -
Staines -
Luton -
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Grays -
Oxford Utd -
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Potters 4
Aylesbury United 0
Carshalton 1
Whitstable Town 2
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
Thurrock -
Bath City -
TBD -
Poole Town 0
Willand Rovers 1
Weymouth -
TBD -
Brockenhurst 2
Bishops Cleeve 5
Bridgwater United 3
Hamworthy United 1
Brading Town 1
Hallen 4
Almondsbury Town 4
Yate 2
VCD Athletic 0
AFC Totton 5
Paulton Rovers 1
Tiverton 0
Shrivenham 0
Didcot 5
Clevedon 4
Wimborne 2
TBD -
Newport -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Merthyr Tydfil 3
Taunton Town 0
Banbury 2
Chippenham Town 3
Tooting & Mitcham 4
Horsham FC 2
Hitchin 3
Canvey Island 4
Concord Rangers 12
Romford 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Slough Town 3
TBD -
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TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Burnham FC 2
Thame United 0
London Colney 4
Aveley 8
Walton & Hersham 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Waltham Abbey 0
Enfield Town 1
Uxbridge 4
Ash United 3
Margate 4
Sutton 5
Quarter-finals
Hinckley 2
Kirkley & Pakefield 1
Northampton Spencer 1
Cambridge City 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Histon -
Nuneaton 4
Carlton Town 1
Market Drayton 1
Gainsborough 2
Guiseley 2
Bamber Bridge 0
Ossett Town 0
Kendal 2
Halifax 2
Droylsden 0
Horden 1
Burscough 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alfreton 6
Wulfrunians 0
Spennymoor 1
Southport 3
Workington 4
Cammell Laird 1
Warrington Town 2
Radcliffe 4
TBD -
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Rushden -
Mansfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton 5
AFC Fylde 0
Harrogate 0
Bradford PA 4
Hucknall 3
Rugby 1
Evesham 0
Stourbridge 1
Blyth Spartans 7
Ossett Albion 1
Hyde 2
Salford 3
Worcester 3
Bourne 0
Hereford Pegasus 1
Telford 4
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 4
Mildenhall 1
Corby 1
Eastwood 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Lincoln Utd. 2
Roofing 1
FC Congleton Town 0
Frickley 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambridge Utd -
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors 4
Mickleover 3
Stratford 1
Redditch 3
Northwich Victoria 8
Bardon Hill Sports 0
Ashton United 1
Chorley 2
Stalybridge 7
Stocksbridge 2
North Ferriby United 0
United of Manchester 1
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester City -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vauxhall 5
Whitby 0
Farsley 1
Fleetwood Town 3
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry Sphinx 5
Stafford 4
Rainworth 1
Bedworth United 2
Hendon 2
Kingstonian 1
Badshot Lea 0
Ashford Town 10
Maidstone 2
Harefield United 0
Hythe 3
Woking 7
Gloucester City 2
Bashley 1
Hungerford 0
Dorchester 4
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Needham Market 1
Boston United 0
Lowestoft 1
Farnborough 1
Windsor & Eton 0
St. Albans 0
Heybridge 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salisbury -
Mangotsfield 6
Gillingham Town 3
Maidenhead 2
Truro 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Crawley Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon -
Oxford City 1
Sholing 0
Abingdon 1
Cirencester 3
Bedford 2
Romulus 1
Matlock 2
Bury Town 4
Bromley 2
Flackwell Heath 0
Horsham FC 0
Tonbridge 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Chelmsford 5
Enfield FC 0
Worthing FC 1
Dartford 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stevenage -
Aylesbury Vale 4
Wingate & Finchley 3
Billericay 2
Chesham 4
Lewes 2
Leatherhead 1
Boreham Wood 2
Wealdstone 4
Dover Ath. 8
East Preston 0
East Thurrock Utd 0
Welling 2
Basingstoke 1
Brackley 0
Witney Utd 1
Eastleigh 6
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walton Casuals 1
Selsey 0
Sittingbourne 2
Staines 3
Luton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grays -
Oxford Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters 3
Whitstable Town 0
Stortford 2
Thurrock 3
Bath City 5
Willand Rovers 0
Weymouth 0
Bishops Cleeve 3
Bridgwater United 1
Hallen 0
Almondsbury Town 1
AFC Totton 4
Paulton Rovers 2
Didcot 0
Clevedon 1
Newport 3
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Weston-super-Mare 0
Merthyr Tydfil 1
Chippenham Town 4
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Canvey Island 0
Concord Rangers 0
Slough Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Hampton & Richmond 4
Braintree 1
Burnham FC 2
Aveley 4
Walton & Hersham 3
Enfield Town 2
Uxbridge 0
Sutton 3
Semi-finals
Hinckley 5
Cambridge City 0
TBD -
Histon -
Nuneaton 1
Gainsborough 0
Guiseley 1
Kendal 2
Halifax 1
Burscough 0
TBD -
Wrexham -
Gateshead -
TBD -
Alfreton 3
Southport 4
Workington 3
Radcliffe 0
TBD -
Rushden -
Mansfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton 3
Bradford PA 2
Hucknall 1
Stourbridge 6
Blyth Spartans 4
Salford 3
Worcester 0
Telford 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 4
Eastwood 2
TBD -
Tamworth -
Lincoln Utd. 3
Frickley 2
TBD -
Cambridge Utd -
Kettering -
TBD -
Solihull Moors 0
Redditch 2
Northwich Victoria 4
Chorley 1
Stalybridge 3
United of Manchester 4
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester City -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Vauxhall 2
Fleetwood Town 3
York City -
TBD -
Coventry Sphinx 0
Bedworth United 1
Hendon 3
Ashford Town 2
Maidstone 0
Woking 2
Gloucester City 2
Dorchester 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
Lowestoft 2
Farnborough 3
Heybridge 0
TBD -
Salisbury -
Mangotsfield 3
Truro 2
TBD -
Forest Green -
Crawley Town -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon -
Oxford City 2
Cirencester 0
Bedford 4
Bury Town 5
Bromley 2
Tonbridge 0
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Chelmsford 4
Dartford 1
TBD -
Stevenage -
Aylesbury Vale 4
Chesham 3
Lewes 0
Wealdstone 3
Dover Ath. 2
Welling 0
Basingstoke 0
Eastleigh 2
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
Walton Casuals 0
Staines 3
Luton -
TBD -
TBD -
Grays -
Oxford Utd -
TBD -
Potters 2
Thurrock 4
Bath City 4
Bishops Cleeve 1
Bridgwater United 2
AFC Totton 3
Paulton Rovers 1
Newport 0
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Chippenham Town 2
Tooting & Mitcham 3
Slough Town 2
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Hampton & Richmond 3
Aveley 2
Walton & Hersham 0
Sutton 1
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
TBD -
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Stage 1
TBD -
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Final
Hinckley 2
Histon 1
Nuneaton 1
Kendal 0
Halifax 0
Wrexham 1
Gateshead 3
Southport 0
Workington 0
Rushden 3
Mansfield 3
Altrincham 0
Buxton 0
Stourbridge 4
Blyth Spartans 0
Telford 4
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2
Tamworth 0
Lincoln Utd. 1
Cambridge Utd 3
Kettering 2
Redditch 1
Northwich Victoria 3
United of Manchester 0
Barrow 5
Chester City 1
Kidderminster 1
Fleetwood Town 3
York City 2
Bedworth United 0
Hendon 0
Woking 5
Gloucester City 3
Lowestoft 5
Farnborough 2
Salisbury 4
Mangotsfield 1
Forest Green 2
Crawley Town 2
AFC Wimbledon 4
Oxford City 2
Bury Town 1
Bromley 3
Ebbsfleet 0
Chelmsford 1
Stevenage 2
Aylesbury Vale 2
Wealdstone 4
Dover Ath. 3
Eastleigh 5
Hayes & Yeading 0
Staines 1
Luton 3
Grays 0
Oxford Utd 2
Thurrock 0
Bath City 3
AFC Totton 2
Paulton Rovers 3
Chippenham Town 0
Tooting & Mitcham 7
Eastbourne Borough 6
Hampton & Richmond 1
Sutton 3