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Worcester vs Redditch

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Owen M.
29' Event
Lutz C.
64' Event
Wise C.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Worcester and Redditch finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Worcester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Worcester
17%
Draws
70%
Redditch
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Redditch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Redditch come out ahead of Worcester on wins alone.
  • Model gives Redditch a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Worcester Clean Sheet 13%
Redditch Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worcester Redditch
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Worcester vs Redditch
3:1
Jan 3, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Redditch vs Worcester
1:4
Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Redditch vs Worcester
1:1
Jan 3, 2011 National League North
Redditch vs Worcester
0:0
Nov 8, 2010 National League North
Worcester vs Redditch
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worcester Compare

Top Goalscorer Lutz C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wise C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Redditch Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worcester 14 / 100
Redditch 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worcester Redditch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RED Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worcester scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Redditch let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Worcester remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Worcester VS Redditch
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Worcester

(Home)
01 Aug
Worcester
1 : 0
Merthyr Town
14 Jul
Evesham
1 : 0
Worcester
10 Jul
Worcester
0 : 0
Malvern Town
25 Apr
Worcester
4 : 4
Spalding United
18 Apr
Worcester
2 : 2
St Ives Town
Page 1 of 6

Redditch

(Away)
27 Jul
Redditch
3 : 1
Coventry United
11 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 2
Redditch
07 Jul
Evesham
1 : 2
Redditch
25 Apr
Redditch
5 : 0
Quorn
18 Apr
Banbury
0 : 0
Redditch
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)