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Worcester vs St Ives Town

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Own Goal
59' Event
Richens M.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Richens M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Worcester
35%
Draws
32%
St Ives Town
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Worcester lately — more wins on the board than St Ives Town.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Worcester Clean Sheet 17%
St Ives Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worcester St Ives Town
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Worcester vs St Ives Town
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
St Ives Town vs Worcester
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worcester Compare

Top Goalscorer Guinan Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

St Ives Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Richens M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worcester 31 / 100
St Ives Town 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worcester St Ives Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Ives Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Worcester's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Worcester stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Worcester VS St Ives Town
1.25 Goals Scored 1.2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.6
63% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Worcester

(Home)
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0
Worcester
08 Sept
Worcester
1 : 0
Knowle
05 Sept
Knowle
1 : 1
Worcester
31 Aug
Worcester
0 : 1
Bromsgrove
29 Aug
Leamington
1 : 1
Worcester
Page 1 of 6

St Ives Town

(Away)
29 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1
St Ives Town
28 Jul
St Ives Town
3 : 2
Stortford
25 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 0
Stratford
18 Apr
Worcester
2 : 2
St Ives Town
11 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 2
Bromsgrove
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)