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Worcester vs Stratford

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Sweeney D.
90'
Roberts K.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Worcester and Stratford finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Worcester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Worcester
17%
Draws
13%
Stratford
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Worcester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Stratford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Worcester's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Worcester Clean Sheet 18%
Stratford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worcester Stratford
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Worcester vs Stratford
1:0
Oct 14, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stratford vs Worcester
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worcester Compare

Top Goalscorer Sweeney D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Stratford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worcester 67 / 100
Stratford 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worcester Stratford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worcester found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Stratford let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Worcester remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Worcester VS Stratford
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Worcester

(Home)
01 Aug
Worcester
1 : 0
Merthyr Town
14 Jul
Evesham
1 : 0
Worcester
10 Jul
Worcester
0 : 0
Malvern Town
25 Apr
Worcester
4 : 4
Spalding United
18 Apr
Worcester
2 : 2
St Ives Town
Page 1 of 6

Stratford

(Away)
25 Jul
Stratford
0 : 5
Kidderminster
21 Jul
Stratford
1 : 0
Brackley
25 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 0
Stratford
18 Apr
Stratford
1 : 2
Bromsgrove
11 Apr
Spalding United
1 : 3
Stratford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)