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Worcester vs Sudbury

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Worcester
30%
Draws
12%
Sudbury
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Worcester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sudbury haven't matched Worcester's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Worcester taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Worcester Clean Sheet 19%
Sudbury Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worcester Sudbury
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.24 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Worcester vs Sudbury
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Sudbury vs Worcester
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worcester 85 / 100
Sudbury 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worcester Sudbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudbury has conceded goals in 91% of their last 34 outings.

Attacking prowess: Worcester scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Worcester went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Worcester VS Sudbury
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Worcester

(Home)
11 Aug
Alvechurch
3 : 1
Worcester
08 Aug
Stratford
1 : 1
Worcester
01 Aug
Worcester
1 : 0
Merthyr Town
14 Jul
Evesham
1 : 0
Worcester
10 Jul
Worcester
0 : 0
Malvern Town
Page 1 of 6

Sudbury

(Away)
01 Aug
Bury Town
3 : 3
Sudbury
25 Apr
Halesowen
5 : 0
Sudbury
18 Apr
Sudbury
0 : 4
Stourbridge
11 Apr
Banbury
2 : 0
Sudbury
06 Apr
Sudbury
1 : 3
Needham Market
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)