Sport Picks
Workington vs Leek Town Prediction & H2H Stats
England
NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 
Match Events
26'
26'
Campbell H.
AI Match Summary
Leek Town in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leek Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Workington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Workington lately — more wins on the board than Leek Town.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Workington Clean Sheet 10%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Workington | Leek Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Leek Town
3:2
Apr 25, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Leek Town
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Workington
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Workington
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Leek Town
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Workington Compare
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Leek Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Campbell H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Workington 30 / 100
Leek Town 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Workington Leek Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leek Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Workington found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Leek Town has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Workington stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Workington VS Leek Town
2.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Workington
(Home) 29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3 Workington
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2 Blyth Spartans
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1 Workington
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0 Marske United
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2 Blyth Spartans
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0 Marske United
29 Aug
Workington
3 : 2 Leek Town
25 Aug
Workington
3 : 2 Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 3
Leek Town
(Away) 26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2 Leek Town
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1 Hyde
19 Sept
Bromsgrove
2 : 1 Leek Town
12 Sept
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2 Leek Town
05 Sept
Sporting Khalsa
0 : 5 Leek Town
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2 Leek Town
19 Sept
Bromsgrove
2 : 1 Leek Town
12 Sept
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2 Leek Town
05 Sept
Sporting Khalsa
0 : 5 Leek Town
29 Aug
Workington
3 : 2 Leek Town
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
