Sport Picks
Workington vs Redcar Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
69'
69'
Nugent K.
69'
69'
Nugent K.
90'
90'
Fewster B.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between Workington and Redcar Athletic finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Redcar Athletic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Redcar Athletic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Workington's 1.7 goals per match outpaces what Redcar Athletic have produced (1.69).
- Workington are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Workington Clean Sheet 12%
Redcar Athletic Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Workington | Redcar Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Redcar Athletic
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Workington Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Redcar Athletic Compare
Top Goalscorer Fewster B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Workington 47 / 100
Redcar Athletic 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Workington Redcar Athletic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Workington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Workington scored in 78% of their last 27 games.
Redcar Athletic let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.
Workington went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Workington VS Redcar Athletic
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Workington
(Home) 31 Oct
Bury FC
1 : 2 Workington
27 Oct
Workington
3 : 2 Cleethorpes
17 Oct
Bamber Bridge
1 : 2 Workington
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2 Whitby
10 Oct
Quorn
3 : 0 Workington
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
Workington
3 : 2 Cleethorpes
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2 Whitby
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2 Blyth Spartans
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
Page 1 of 3
Redcar Athletic
(Away) 31 Oct
Redcar Athletic
2 : 2 Guiseley
24 Oct
Ashton United
1 : 0 Redcar Athletic
17 Oct
Ashton United
1 : 2 Redcar Athletic
13 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1 Avro
10 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 5 Redcar Athletic
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Ashton United
1 : 0 Redcar Athletic
17 Oct
Ashton United
1 : 2 Redcar Athletic
10 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 5 Redcar Athletic
06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1 Redcar Athletic
26 Sept
FC Guisborough Town
0 : 1 Redcar Athletic
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32:9 | 33 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 33:15 | 32 |
| 4 | Curzon Ashton | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30:18 | 31 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 32:21 | 29 |
| 6 | Avro | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 39:30 | 29 |
| 7 | Workington | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28:26 | 27 |
| 8 | Warrington Rylands | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 26 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 10 | Bury FC | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 30:18 | 23 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 23:22 | 23 |
| 12 | Quorn | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 31:32 | 21 |
| 13 | Lancaster | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:29 | 21 |
| 14 | AFC Emley | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19:28 | 20 |
| 15 | Whitby | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 22:42 | 19 |
| 16 | Stockton | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 23:28 | 15 |
| 17 | Hyde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:30 | 15 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18:21 | 14 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 31:37 | 14 |
| 20 | Ilkeston | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11:34 | 13 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20:27 | 12 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:37 | 11 |
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