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Workington vs Redcar Athletic

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

69'
Nugent K.
69'
Nugent K.
90' Event
Fewster B.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Workington and Redcar Athletic finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Redcar Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Workington
15%
Draws
39%
Redcar Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Workington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Workington carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Workington are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Workington Clean Sheet 12%
Redcar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Workington Redcar Athletic
Matches Played 28 16
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.54 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Redcar Athletic
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Workington Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Redcar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Fewster B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Workington 65 / 100
Redcar Athletic 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Workington Redcar Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Workington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Workington went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Workington scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Redcar Athletic let in goals in 56% of their last 16 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Workington VS Redcar Athletic
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Workington

(Home)
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1
Ilkeston
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0
Marske United
31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3
Workington
29 Aug
Workington
3 : 2
Leek Town
25 Aug
Workington
3 : 2
Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 6

Redcar Athletic

(Away)
12 Sept
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2
Leek Town
05 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 0
Stocksbridge
31 Aug
Stockton
0 : 2
Redcar Athletic
29 Aug
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2
United of Manchester
25 Aug
Redcar Athletic
0 : 0
AFC Emley
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 9 7 1 1 24:5 22
2 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
3 Redcar Athletic 9 6 3 0 18:6 21
4 Guiseley 9 6 1 2 22:10 19
5 Warrington Town 9 5 2 2 18:14 17
6 Bury FC 9 5 1 3 19:8 16
7 Curzon Ashton 9 5 1 3 18:10 16
8 Workington 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
9 Gainsborough 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
10 Warrington Rylands 9 4 1 4 12:13 13
11 Alfreton 9 4 0 5 15:10 12
12 Whitby 9 4 0 5 14:24 12
13 Ashton United 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
14 Hyde 9 3 2 4 10:17 11
15 AFC Emley 9 2 4 3 8:15 10
16 Lancaster 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
17 Bamber Bridge 9 2 3 4 12:22 9
18 Ilkeston 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
19 Leek Town 9 1 3 5 17:19 6
20 Quorn 9 1 3 5 12:23 6
21 United of Manchester 9 1 2 6 12:19 5
22 Stockton 9 1 2 6 8:18 5
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)