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Workington vs Warrington Rylands

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Hardcastle B.
45'
Waring G.
50' Event
Wood H.

AI Match Summary

Workington in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Workington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Workington
15%
Draws
34%
Warrington Rylands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Workington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Warrington Rylands have won more games recently than Workington.
  • Model gives Workington a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Workington Clean Sheet 68%
Warrington Rylands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Workington Warrington Rylands
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.46 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Rylands
3:2
Apr 4, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Workington
3:0
Aug 19, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Rylands
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Workington
2:1
Sep 7, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Rylands
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Workington Compare

Top Goalscorer Nugent K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Whitehall I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Warrington Rylands Compare

Top Goalscorer Hardcastle B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wood H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Workington 86 / 100
Warrington Rylands 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Workington Warrington Rylands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Workington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Workington has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Workington scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Warrington Rylands let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Workington VS Warrington Rylands
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Workington

(Home)
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1
Ilkeston
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0
Marske United
31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3
Workington
29 Aug
Workington
3 : 2
Leek Town
25 Aug
Workington
3 : 2
Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 6

Warrington Rylands

(Away)
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1
Stockton
05 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Hyde
31 Aug
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Bamber Bridge
29 Aug
Alfreton
1 : 2
Warrington Rylands
25 Aug
Workington
3 : 2
Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 9 7 1 1 24:5 22
2 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
3 Redcar Athletic 9 6 3 0 18:6 21
4 Guiseley 9 6 1 2 22:10 19
5 Warrington Town 9 5 2 2 18:14 17
6 Bury FC 9 5 1 3 19:8 16
7 Curzon Ashton 9 5 1 3 18:10 16
8 Workington 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
9 Gainsborough 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
10 Warrington Rylands 9 4 1 4 12:13 13
11 Alfreton 9 4 0 5 15:10 12
12 Whitby 9 4 0 5 14:24 12
13 Ashton United 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
14 Hyde 9 3 2 4 10:17 11
15 AFC Emley 9 2 4 3 8:15 10
16 Lancaster 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
17 Bamber Bridge 9 2 3 4 12:22 9
18 Ilkeston 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
19 Leek Town 9 1 3 5 17:19 6
20 Quorn 9 1 3 5 12:23 6
21 United of Manchester 9 1 2 6 12:19 5
22 Stockton 9 1 2 6 8:18 5
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)