Sport Picks
Workington vs Warrington Rylands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
8'
8'
Hardcastle B.
45'
45'
Waring G.
50'
50'
Wood H.
AI Match Summary
Workington in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Workington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Workington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Warrington Rylands have won more games recently than Workington.
- Model gives Workington a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Workington Clean Sheet 12%
Warrington Rylands Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Workington | Warrington Rylands |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Rylands
3:2
Apr 4, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Workington
3:0
Aug 19, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Rylands
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Workington
2:1
Sep 7, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Rylands
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Workington Compare
Top Goalscorer Nugent K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Whitehall I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Warrington Rylands Compare
Top Goalscorer Hardcastle B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wood H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Workington 40 / 100
Warrington Rylands 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Workington Warrington Rylands
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Workington scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.
Warrington Rylands let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Workington has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Workington VS Warrington Rylands
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Workington
(Home) 31 Oct
Bury FC
1 : 2 Workington
27 Oct
Workington
3 : 2 Cleethorpes
17 Oct
Bamber Bridge
1 : 2 Workington
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2 Whitby
10 Oct
Quorn
3 : 0 Workington
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
Workington
3 : 2 Cleethorpes
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2 Whitby
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2 Blyth Spartans
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
Page 1 of 3
Warrington Rylands
(Away) 31 Oct
Ashton United
1 : 2 Warrington Rylands
24 Oct
Warrington Rylands
1 : 3 Guiseley
13 Oct
Warrington Rylands
5 : 1 Curzon Ashton
10 Oct
Cleethorpes
3 : 0 Warrington Rylands
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3 Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Ashton United
1 : 2 Warrington Rylands
10 Oct
Cleethorpes
3 : 0 Warrington Rylands
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3 Warrington Rylands
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1 Warrington Rylands
29 Aug
Alfreton
1 : 2 Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32:9 | 33 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 33:15 | 32 |
| 4 | Curzon Ashton | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30:18 | 31 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 32:21 | 29 |
| 6 | Avro | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 39:30 | 29 |
| 7 | Workington | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28:26 | 27 |
| 8 | Warrington Rylands | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 26 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 10 | Bury FC | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 30:18 | 23 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 23:22 | 23 |
| 12 | Quorn | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 31:32 | 21 |
| 13 | Lancaster | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:29 | 21 |
| 14 | AFC Emley | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19:28 | 20 |
| 15 | Whitby | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 22:42 | 19 |
| 16 | Stockton | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 23:28 | 15 |
| 17 | Hyde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:30 | 15 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18:21 | 14 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 31:37 | 14 |
| 20 | Ilkeston | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11:34 | 13 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20:27 | 12 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:37 | 11 |
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