Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Worksop vs Bedford

England England

National League North Sandy Lane Stadium, Worksop
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Viggars R.
66' Event
Hicks D.
90' Event
Wilkinson F.

AI Match Summary

Bedford in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bedford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Worksop
15%
Draws
68%
Bedford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bedford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Worksop have won more games recently than Bedford.
  • Model gives Bedford a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bedford have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Worksop Clean Sheet 17%
Bedford Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worksop Bedford
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 1 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 National League North
Worksop vs Bedford
1:2
Mar 10, 2026 National League North
Bedford vs Worksop
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 National League North
Worksop vs Bedford
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worksop Compare

Top Goalscorer Viggars R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bedford Compare

Top Goalscorer Hicks D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wilkinson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worksop 15 / 100
Bedford 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worksop Bedford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bedford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worksop scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Bedford conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Worksop stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Worksop VS Bedford
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Worksop

(Home)
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2
Bedford
05 Sept
Marine
0 : 1
Worksop
31 Aug
Worksop
0 : 1
Oxford City
29 Aug
Spalding United
3 : 1
Worksop
22 Aug
Worksop
0 : 3
Hereford
Page 1 of 6

Bedford

(Away)
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2
Bedford
05 Sept
Bedford
1 : 0
Radcliffe
31 Aug
Telford
0 : 1
Bedford
29 Aug
Bedford
3 : 1
Spennymoor
22 Aug
Southport
4 : 1
Bedford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 9 7 1 1 21:4 22
2 Oxford City 9 6 1 2 17:6 19
3 Macclesfield 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
4 Spalding United 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
5 Hebburn Town 9 5 2 2 15:15 17
6 South Shields 8 5 2 1 9:10 17
7 Buxton 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
8 Bedford 9 5 0 4 13:13 15
9 Chester 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
10 Morecambe 9 4 1 4 13:8 13
11 Merthyr Town 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
12 King’s Lynn 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
13 Harborough 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
14 Worksop 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
15 Scarborough Athletic 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
16 Chorley 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
17 Marine 9 3 0 6 10:11 9
18 Telford 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
19 Hednesford 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
20 Southport 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
21 Brackley 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
22 Radcliffe 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
23 Darlington FC 9 2 0 7 11:20 6
24 Spennymoor 9 1 3 5 9:19 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)