Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Worksop vs Hereford

England England

National League North 2025/2026 Sandy Lane Stadium, Worksop
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Williams A.
23' Event
Martin K.
45' Event
Quansah K.

AI Match Summary

The National League North 2025/2026 game between Worksop and Hereford finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hereford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Worksop
15%
Draws
39%
Hereford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Worksop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Worksop carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Worksop taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Worksop Clean Sheet 20%
Hereford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worksop Hereford
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 National League North
Worksop vs Hereford
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 National League North
Hereford vs Worksop
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worksop Compare

Top Goalscorer Whitham L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rollins J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Hereford Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worksop 40 / 100
Hereford 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worksop Hereford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worksop Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worksop scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Hereford has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Worksop remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Worksop VS Hereford
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Worksop

(Home)
18 Aug
Hebburn Town
1 : 0
Worksop
15 Aug
Worksop
2 : 1
Telford
08 Aug
Darlington FC
1 : 2
Worksop
28 Jul
Worksop
1 : 0
Mickleover
25 Jul
Worksop
4 : 0
Garforth
Page 1 of 6

Hereford

(Away)
18 Aug
Hereford
3 : 0
Radcliffe
15 Aug
Hereford
1 : 0
Marine
08 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1
Hereford
01 Aug
Bromsgrove
0 : 1
Hereford
28 Jul
Hereford
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Fylde 46 32 4 10 112:51 100
2 South Shields 46 28 11 7 99:43 95
3 Kidderminster 46 25 12 9 74:51 87
4 Macclesfield 46 24 7 15 81:68 79
5 Buxton 46 22 7 17 83:61 73
6 Scarborough Athletic 46 19 16 11 61:52 73
7 Chester 46 20 13 13 66:64 73
8 Merthyr Town 46 22 4 20 95:86 70
9 Darlington FC 46 20 9 17 78:68 69
10 Spennymoor 46 19 11 16 62:69 68
11 Telford 46 17 14 15 85:65 65
12 Marine 46 18 8 20 62:72 62
13 Radcliffe 46 18 6 22 76:83 60
14 Southport 46 16 12 18 64:71 60
15 Chorley 46 15 12 19 66:65 57
16 Worksop 46 16 9 21 66:74 57
17 Oxford City 46 15 11 20 62:67 56
18 Bedford 46 13 14 19 66:77 53
19 King’s Lynn 46 12 16 18 56:64 52
20 Hereford 46 14 10 22 64:79 52
21 Curzon Ashton 46 13 13 20 67:88 52
22 Alfreton 46 12 14 20 49:82 50
23 Peterborough Sports 46 10 9 27 51:96 39
24 Leamington 46 7 8 31 41:90 29
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)