Sport Picks
Worksop vs Merthyr Town Prediction & H2H Stats
England
National League North 2025/2026 Sandy Lane Stadium, Worksop 
Match Events
14'
14'
Waterfall L.
19'
19'
Redford V.
22'
22'
Cox C.
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between Worksop and Merthyr Town finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merthyr Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Worksop
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Merthyr Town haven't matched Worksop's recent run of results.
- Worksop are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Worksop Clean Sheet 17%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Worksop | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 10, 2026 National League North
Worksop vs Merthyr Town
3:5
Sep 6, 2025 National League North
Merthyr Town vs Worksop
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Worksop Compare
Top Goalscorer Waterfall L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Redford V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Merthyr Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Cox C.
3 Goals Assists Leader Smerdon N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Worksop 39 / 100
Merthyr Town 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Worksop Merthyr Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Worksop Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Worksop scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Merthyr Town let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Worksop went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Worksop VS Merthyr Town
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Worksop
(Home) 26 Sept
Chester
4 : 1 Worksop
22 Sept
Worksop
5 : 2 Telford
19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2 Worksop
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2 Bedford
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Worksop
5 : 2 Telford
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2 Bedford
31 Aug
Worksop
0 : 1 Oxford City
22 Aug
Worksop
0 : 3 Hereford
Page 1 of 4
Merthyr Town
(Away) 26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Merthyr Town
22 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
