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Worms vs Ahrweiler

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar game between Worms and Ahrweiler finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Worms.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Worms
35%
Draws
30%
Ahrweiler
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ahrweiler haven't matched Worms's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Worms a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Worms Clean Sheet 17%
Ahrweiler Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worms Ahrweiler
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 2.37 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Worms vs Ahrweiler
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worms 66 / 100
Ahrweiler 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worms Ahrweiler

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worms Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worms's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ahrweiler's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Worms stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Worms VS Ahrweiler
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Worms

(Home)
20 Sept
Hertha Wiesbach
3 : 2
Worms
13 Sept
Worms
3 : 2
TuS Koblenz
09 Sept
TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim
3 : 3
Worms
05 Sept
Worms
5 : 1
RW Wittlich
29 Aug
Gonsenheim
6 : 2
Worms
Page 1 of 6

Ahrweiler

(Away)
18 Sept
Ahrweiler
2 : 1
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
12 Sept
Hertha Wiesbach
2 : 0
Ahrweiler
09 Sept
Ahrweiler
2 : 2
Cosmos Koblenz
05 Sept
TuS Koblenz
0 : 0
Ahrweiler
30 Aug
Ahrweiler
1 : 1
Engers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schott Mainz 9 5 3 1 21:9 18
2 Engers 10 5 3 2 25:16 18
3 Mechtersheim 9 6 0 3 22:16 18
4 TuS Koblenz 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 Pirmasens 9 5 1 3 28:17 16
6 TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim 8 5 1 2 20:10 16
7 RW Wittlich 8 5 0 3 24:17 15
8 Rot-Weiss Koblenz 9 4 3 2 18:13 15
9 Auersmacher 10 5 0 5 20:21 15
10 Emmelshausen-Karbach 9 4 2 3 18:22 14
11 Gonsenheim 9 4 1 4 19:13 13
12 Worms 9 4 1 4 24:19 13
13 Elversberg II 9 3 3 3 12:16 12
14 Hertha Wiesbach 9 3 2 4 15:21 11
15 Cosmos Koblenz 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
16 Ahrweiler 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
17 Diefflen 9 1 1 7 11:32 4
18 Eisbachtal 9 0 1 8 3:29 1
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)