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Worthing FC vs Barrow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Amos D.
20' Event
Lane M.
31'
Sub
Marquez J. In: Kendall C.
Out: Marquez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Worthing FC
30%
Draws
43%
Barrow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Worthing FC average 1.76 goals a game right now, well clear of Barrow's 1.59.
  • Barrow are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 11%
Barrow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worthing FC Barrow
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.76 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League
Worthing FC vs Barrow
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worthing FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hutchinson D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Barrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Lane M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worthing FC 10 / 100
Barrow 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worthing FC Barrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barrow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worthing FC scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Barrow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Worthing FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Worthing FC VS Barrow
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Worthing FC

(Home)
03 Nov
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Fulham U21
31 Oct
Worthing FC
0 : 3
Sutton
27 Oct
Worthing FC
3 : 3
Southend
24 Oct
Kidderminster
1 : 2
Worthing FC
17 Oct
Wealdstone
3 : 0
Worthing FC
Page 1 of 6

Barrow

(Away)
31 Oct
Barrow
1 : 1
Eastleigh
27 Oct
Halifax
2 : 3
Barrow
20 Oct
Gloucester City
0 : 2
Barrow
17 Oct
Barrow
0 : 0
Gloucester City
10 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 2
Barrow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 16 14 2 0 44:17 44
2 Harrogate 16 10 2 4 34:23 32
3 Southend 16 8 5 3 38:27 29
4 AFC Fylde 16 9 2 5 30:24 29
5 Yeovil 16 8 4 4 35:20 28
6 Worthing FC 16 8 4 4 32:25 28
7 Altrincham 16 9 1 6 24:24 28
8 Carlisle 16 7 5 4 32:23 26
9 Barrow 15 7 4 4 26:19 25
10 Halifax 16 7 3 6 28:20 24
11 Sutton 16 7 3 6 20:21 24
12 Woking 16 6 3 7 25:24 21
13 Kidderminster 16 5 6 5 17:16 21
14 Aldershot 16 6 3 7 19:19 21
15 Hornchurch 16 7 0 9 18:26 21
16 Forest Green 14 5 4 5 23:24 19
17 Eastleigh 16 5 4 7 19:25 19
18 Wealdstone 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
19 Boston United 16 5 3 8 21:29 18
20 Tamworth 15 5 2 8 25:32 17
21 Hartlepool 16 5 0 11 18:27 15
22 Solihull Moors 16 4 1 11 19:40 13
23 Scunthorpe 15 3 1 11 19:30 10
24 Gateshead 15 1 1 13 9:34 4
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