Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Worthing FC vs Barrow

England England

National League Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Amos D.
20' Event
Lane M.
31'
Sub
Marquez J. In: Kendall C.
Out: Marquez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Worthing FC
35%
Draws
49%
Barrow
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Worthing FC lately — more wins on the board than Barrow.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 14%
Barrow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worthing FC Barrow
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.87 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League
Worthing FC vs Barrow
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worthing FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hutchinson D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Barrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Lane M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worthing FC 31 / 100
Barrow 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worthing FC Barrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barrow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worthing FC scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Barrow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Worthing FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Worthing FC VS Barrow
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Worthing FC

(Home)
12 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 2
Barrow
08 Sept
Worthing FC
0 : 1
Norwich U21
05 Sept
AFC Fylde
2 : 2
Worthing FC
31 Aug
Worthing FC
2 : 3
Boreham Wood
28 Aug
Tamworth
3 : 2
Worthing FC
Page 1 of 6

Barrow

(Away)
12 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 2
Barrow
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton
31 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 1
Barrow
28 Aug
Barrow
1 : 2
Yeovil
22 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 2
Barrow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 7 5 2 0 17:9 17
2 Harrogate 7 5 1 1 18:10 16
3 AFC Fylde 7 4 2 1 17:10 14
4 Kidderminster 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
5 Southend 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
6 Aldershot 7 4 2 1 9:5 14
7 Forest Green 7 4 0 3 11:10 12
8 Hornchurch 7 4 0 3 10:11 12
9 Sutton 7 4 0 3 7:8 12
10 Yeovil 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
11 Eastleigh 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
12 Carlisle 7 2 3 2 15:12 9
13 Halifax 7 3 0 4 12:10 9
14 Hartlepool 7 3 0 4 5:6 9
15 Altrincham 7 3 0 4 8:13 9
16 Worthing FC 7 2 2 3 13:14 8
17 Wealdstone 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
18 Scunthorpe 7 2 1 4 10:12 7
19 Woking 7 2 1 4 9:11 7
20 Boston United 7 2 1 4 9:11 7
21 Barrow 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
22 Tamworth 7 1 2 4 13:19 5
23 Gateshead 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
24 Solihull Moors 7 0 1 6 7:19 1
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