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Worthing FC vs Dagenham & Red.

England England

National League South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Connolly K.
26' Event
Spong J.
27' Event
Makowski W.

AI Match Summary

Worthing FC play Dagenham & Red. in the National League South 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Worthing FC averaged 2.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Dagenham & Red. averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Worthing FC won 3, Dagenham & Red. won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 7:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Worthing FC and 1.31 for Dagenham & Red.. This points to a Worthing FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Worthing FC
6%
Draws
4%
Dagenham & Red.
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Worthing FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Worthing FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Dagenham & Red..
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Worthing FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National League South 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 68%
Dagenham & Red. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worthing FC Dagenham & Red.
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 National League South
Worthing FC vs Dagenham & Red.
7:2
Sep 6, 2025 National League South
Dagenham & Red. vs Worthing FC
2:5
Dec 10, 2016 FA Trophy
Dagenham & Red. vs Worthing FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worthing FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Makowski W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Spong J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Dagenham & Red. Compare

Top Goalscorer Connolly K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oteh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worthing FC 95 / 100
Dagenham & Red. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worthing FC Dagenham & Red.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worthing FC scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Dagenham & Red. let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.33 goals.

Worthing FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dagenham & Red. lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Worthing FC VS Dagenham & Red.
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036