Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Worthing FC vs Sutton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Babalola T.
21' Event
Moore J.
Own Goal
24'
Knight J.

AI Match Summary

Sutton in this National League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Worthing FC
15%
Draws
48%
Sutton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sutton lately — more wins on the board than Worthing FC.
  • Sutton are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sutton here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 15%
Sutton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worthing FC Sutton
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 National League
Worthing FC vs Sutton
0:3
Jan 24, 2017 FA Trophy
Sutton vs Worthing FC
3:2
Jan 14, 2017 FA Trophy
Worthing FC vs Sutton
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worthing FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sutton Compare

Top Goalscorer Babalola T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worthing FC 10 / 100
Sutton 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worthing FC Sutton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Worthing FC scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Sutton conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Worthing FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Worthing FC VS Sutton
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Worthing FC

(Home)
03 Nov
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Fulham U21
31 Oct
Worthing FC
0 : 3
Sutton
27 Oct
Worthing FC
3 : 3
Southend
24 Oct
Kidderminster
1 : 2
Worthing FC
17 Oct
Wealdstone
3 : 0
Worthing FC
Page 1 of 6

Sutton

(Away)
07 Nov
Guiseley
1 : 0
Sutton
03 Nov
Sutton
1 : 0
Southampton U21
31 Oct
Worthing FC
0 : 3
Sutton
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0
Aldershot
24 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1
Sutton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 16 14 2 0 44:17 44
2 Harrogate 16 10 2 4 34:23 32
3 Southend 16 8 5 3 38:27 29
4 AFC Fylde 16 9 2 5 30:24 29
5 Yeovil 16 8 4 4 35:20 28
6 Worthing FC 16 8 4 4 32:25 28
7 Altrincham 16 9 1 6 24:24 28
8 Carlisle 16 7 5 4 32:23 26
9 Barrow 15 7 4 4 26:19 25
10 Halifax 16 7 3 6 28:20 24
11 Sutton 16 7 3 6 20:21 24
12 Woking 16 6 3 7 25:24 21
13 Kidderminster 16 5 6 5 17:16 21
14 Aldershot 16 6 3 7 19:19 21
15 Hornchurch 16 7 0 9 18:26 21
16 Forest Green 14 5 4 5 23:24 19
17 Eastleigh 16 5 4 7 19:25 19
18 Wealdstone 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
19 Boston United 16 5 3 8 21:29 18
20 Tamworth 15 5 2 8 25:32 17
21 Hartlepool 16 5 0 11 18:27 15
22 Solihull Moors 16 4 1 11 19:40 13
23 Scunthorpe 15 3 1 11 19:30 10
24 Gateshead 15 1 1 13 9:34 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)