Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Worthing FC vs Wealdstone

England England

National League Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Worthing FC host Wealdstone in the National League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Worthing FC have averaged 1.87 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Wealdstone's 1.55 scored and 1.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Worthing FC have won 1 to Wealdstone's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 7, 2006, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.13) back Worthing FC to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Worthing FC
15%
Draws
37%
Wealdstone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Worthing FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Wealdstone haven't matched Worthing FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Worthing FC a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Wealdstone here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 20%
Wealdstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worthing FC Wealdstone
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.87 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2006 Isthmian League Premier Division
Worthing FC vs Wealdstone
3:1
Aug 20, 2005 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wealdstone vs Worthing FC
2:1
Dec 11, 2004 Isthmian League Premier Division
Worthing FC vs Wealdstone
0:1
Aug 14, 2004 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wealdstone vs Worthing FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worthing FC 58 / 100
Wealdstone 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worthing FC Wealdstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worthing FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worthing FC scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Wealdstone has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Worthing FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Worthing FC VS Wealdstone
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Worthing FC

(Home)
18 Aug
Worthing FC
1 : 2
West Ham U21
15 Aug
Worthing FC
1 : 2
Forest Green
08 Aug
Carlisle
2 : 3
Worthing FC
01 Aug
Worthing FC
3 : 0
Horsham FC
28 Jul
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Brighton U21
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Wealdstone

(Away)
18 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 3
Wolves U21
15 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 3
Harrogate
08 Aug
AFC Fylde
2 : 2
Wealdstone
01 Aug
Slough Town
0 : 2
Wealdstone
28 Jul
Wealdstone
1 : 0
AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harrogate 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Hornchurch 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Sutton 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Southend 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
5 Hartlepool 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
6 Forest Green 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
7 Boreham Wood 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
8 AFC Fylde 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
9 Gateshead 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
10 Boston United 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
11 Worthing FC 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
12 Eastleigh 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
13 Aldershot 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
14 Kidderminster 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
15 Yeovil 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
16 Tamworth 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
17 Carlisle 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
18 Scunthorpe 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
19 Wealdstone 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
20 Halifax 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
21 Altrincham 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
22 Barrow 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
23 Solihull Moors 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
24 Woking 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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