Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wrexham vs Birmingham

England England

Championship Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Cochrane A.
13' Event
Neumann P.
Assist: Cochrane A.
46'
Sub
Gray D. In: Roberts P.
Out: Gray D.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Wrexham and Birmingham finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Birmingham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Wrexham
35%
Draws
52%
Birmingham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Birmingham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

13% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Birmingham come out ahead of Wrexham on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Wrexham's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 68%
Birmingham Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wrexham Birmingham
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Championship
Wrexham vs Birmingham
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Championship
Birmingham vs Wrexham
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Championship
Wrexham vs Birmingham
1:1
Jan 23, 2025 League One
Wrexham vs Birmingham
1:1
Sep 16, 2024 League One
Birmingham vs Wrexham
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wrexham Compare

Top Goalscorer Doyle C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Birmingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Neumann P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wrexham 50 / 100
Birmingham 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wrexham Birmingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wrexham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wrexham scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Birmingham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Wrexham has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wrexham VS Birmingham
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wrexham

(Home)
28 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 2
Birmingham
22 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 1
Watford
17 Aug
Cardiff
1 : 1
Wrexham
07 Aug
Middlesbrough
1 : 0
Wrexham
02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1
Sunderland
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Birmingham

(Away)
28 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 2
Birmingham
25 Aug
Birmingham
1 : 6
Brentford
22 Aug
Birmingham
2 : 2
Bristol City
15 Aug
Sheffield Utd
0 : 0
Birmingham
08 Aug
Swansea
0 : 1
Birmingham
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
2 Wolves 3 2 1 0 9:4 7
3 Swansea 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
4 QPR 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
5 Middlesbrough 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 West Brom 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
7 Millwall 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
8 Birmingham 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
9 Watford 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
10 Blackburn 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
11 Bolton 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
12 Bristol City 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
13 Cardiff 3 0 3 0 5:5 3
14 Sheffield Utd 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
15 Portsmouth 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
16 Norwich 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
17 Lincoln City 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
18 Southampton 3 2 0 1 9:4 2
19 West Ham 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
20 Wrexham 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
21 Derby 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
22 Burnley 3 0 1 2 4:9 1
23 Preston 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
24 Stoke City 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)