Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wrexham vs Birmingham

England England

Championship 2025/2026 Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Dobson G.
Assist: Cleworth M.
46' Event
Roberts P.
Assist: Stansfield J.
65'
Sub
Dykes L. In: Furuhashi K.
Out: Dykes L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Wrexham
35%
Draws
28%
Birmingham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wrexham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Birmingham have won more games recently than Wrexham.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 20%
Birmingham Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wrexham Birmingham
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Championship
Wrexham vs Birmingham
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Championship
Birmingham vs Wrexham
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Championship
Wrexham vs Birmingham
1:1
Jan 23, 2025 League One
Wrexham vs Birmingham
1:1
Sep 16, 2024 League One
Birmingham vs Wrexham
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wrexham Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobson G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Birmingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wrexham 32 / 100
Birmingham 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wrexham Birmingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Birmingham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Birmingham conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Wrexham scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Wrexham went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wrexham VS Birmingham
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wrexham

(Home)
19 Sept
Wrexham
2 : 1
Southampton
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0
Wrexham
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3
Wrexham
Page 1 of 6

Birmingham

(Away)
19 Sept
Birmingham
2 : 2
Middlesbrough
12 Sept
Derby
1 : 2
Birmingham
09 Sept
Norwich
2 : 1
Birmingham
06 Sept
Birmingham
2 : 2
Wolves
01 Sept
Birmingham
1 : 1
Southampton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 97:45 95
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 80:47 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64:49 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82:56 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72:47 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70:66 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 71
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 67:59 69
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 63:56 65
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 57:56 64
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 57:59 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 62
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 66:66 60
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 55:62 60
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 61:73 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 55
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 44:58 53
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 42:56 52
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 48:58 51
22 Oxford Utd 46 11 14 21 45:59 47
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 58:68 46
24 Sheffield Wed 46 2 12 32 29:89 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)