Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wrexham vs Birmingham

England England

Championship 2025/2026 Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Dobson G.
Assist: Cleworth M.
46' Event
Roberts P.
Assist: Stansfield J.
65'
Sub
Dykes L. In: Furuhashi K.
Out: Dykes L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Wrexham
33%
Draws
40%
Birmingham
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Birmingham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Wrexham have won more games recently than Birmingham.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Birmingham taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 13%
Birmingham Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wrexham Birmingham
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Championship
Birmingham vs Wrexham
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Championship
Wrexham vs Birmingham
1:1
Jan 23, 2025 League One
Wrexham vs Birmingham
1:1
Sep 16, 2024 League One
Birmingham vs Wrexham
3:1
Sep 19, 2006 EFL Cup
Birmingham vs Wrexham
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wrexham Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobson G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Birmingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wrexham 27 / 100
Birmingham 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wrexham Birmingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wrexham found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Birmingham has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Wrexham went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wrexham VS Birmingham
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wrexham

(Home)
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2
Leeds
18 Jul
Manchester United
0 : 1
Wrexham
11 Jul
Wisla
0 : 0
Wrexham
02 May
Wrexham
2 : 2
Middlesbrough
26 Apr
Coventry
3 : 1
Wrexham
Page 1 of 6

Birmingham

(Away)
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2
Birmingham
22 Jul
Burton
0 : 1
Birmingham
15 Jul
Solihull Moors
0 : 3
Birmingham
10 Jul
Birmingham
3 : 1
Huddersfield
02 May
Portsmouth
1 : 1
Birmingham
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coventry462811797:4595
2Ipswich462315880:4784
3Millwall4624111164:4983
4Southampton4622141082:5680
5Middlesbrough4622141072:4780
6Hull City4621101570:6673
7Wrexham4619141369:6571
8Derby462091767:5969
9Norwich461981963:5665
10Birmingham4617131657:5664
11Swansea4618101857:5964
12Bristol City4617111859:5962
13Sheffield Utd461862266:6660
14Preston4615151655:6260
15QPR4616102061:7358
16Watford4614151753:6557
17Stoke City4615102151:5655
18Portsmouth4614131949:6455
19Charlton4613141944:5853
20Blackburn4613132042:5652
21West Brom4613141948:5851
22Oxford Utd4611142145:5947
23Leicester4612161858:6846
24Sheffield Wed462123229:890
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)