Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wrexham vs Burnley

England England

Championship Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Kabore I.
26' Event
Amdouni Z.
Assist: Ramazani L.
30'
Sub
Cleworth M. In: Vyner Z.
Out: Cleworth M.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Wrexham and Burnley finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Wrexham
35%
Draws
16%
Burnley
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wrexham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wrexham come out ahead of Burnley on wins alone.
  • Wrexham are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 68%
Burnley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wrexham Burnley
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 2
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.34 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Championship
Wrexham vs Burnley
1:1
Mar 11, 2000 League One
Wrexham vs Burnley
0:1
Nov 2, 1999 League One
Burnley vs Wrexham
5:0
Mar 20, 1999 League One
Wrexham vs Burnley
1:1
Oct 31, 1998 League One
Burnley vs Wrexham
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wrexham Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekomie J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Burnley Compare

Top Goalscorer Amdouni Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wrexham 95 / 100
Burnley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wrexham Burnley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wrexham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Wrexham scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Wrexham went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wrexham VS Burnley
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wrexham

(Home)
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3
Wrexham
28 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 2
Birmingham
22 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 1
Watford
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Burnley

(Away)
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2
Bristol City
02 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Middlesbrough
29 Aug
Norwich
4 : 1
Burnley
26 Aug
Bradford City
1 : 0
Burnley
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham 6 3 2 1 14:9 11
2 Swansea 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
3 Middlesbrough 5 3 1 1 8:5 10
4 QPR 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Bristol City 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 West Brom 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Charlton 5 3 1 1 6:7 10
8 Millwall 5 3 0 2 10:8 9
9 Sheffield Utd 6 2 3 1 8:8 9
10 Wolves 5 2 2 1 13:10 8
11 Watford 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
12 Southampton 6 3 2 1 14:7 7
13 Wrexham 6 1 4 1 7:5 7
14 Birmingham 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
15 Stoke City 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
16 Norwich 5 2 0 3 8:8 6
17 Portsmouth 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
18 Blackburn 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
19 Lincoln City 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
20 Cardiff 6 0 4 2 7:10 4
21 Derby 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
22 Bolton 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
23 Burnley 6 0 3 3 7:13 3
24 Preston 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)