Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Salech Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Kellyman O. In: Davies I.
Out: Kellyman O.
46'
46'
Sub
Broadhead N. In: Windass J.
Out: Broadhead N.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Cardiff advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wrexham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cardiff come out ahead of Wrexham on wins alone.
- Wrexham are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Cardiff arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Cardiff, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 18%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wrexham | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 2.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 17, 2026 Championship
Cardiff vs Wrexham
1:1
Oct 28, 2025 EFL Cup
Wrexham vs Cardiff
1:2
Mar 22, 2002 League One
Cardiff vs Wrexham
3:2
Nov 4, 2001 League One
Wrexham vs Cardiff
1:3
Jan 22, 2000 League One
Wrexham vs Cardiff
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wrexham Compare
Top Goalscorer Moore K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Cardiff Compare
Top Goalscorer Salech Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fish W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wrexham 36 / 100
Cardiff 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wrexham Cardiff
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cardiff has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Wrexham scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Wrexham has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Wrexham VS Cardiff
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Wrexham
(Home) 19 Sept
Wrexham
2 : 1 Southampton
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0 Wrexham
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1 Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3 Wrexham
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Wrexham
2 : 1 Southampton
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1 Burnley
28 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 2 Birmingham
22 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 1 Watford
02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1 Sunderland
Page 1 of 3
Cardiff
(Away) 19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1 Charlton
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0 Cardiff
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0 Cardiff
02 Sept
QPR
2 : 1 Cardiff
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0 Cardiff
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0 Cardiff
02 Sept
QPR
2 : 1 Cardiff
22 Aug
Derby
2 : 2 Cardiff
25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5 Cardiff
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
