Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wrexham vs Hull City

England England

EFL Cup 2025/2026 Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Tue, Aug 12, 2025
4 - 3
06:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Hughes C.
31' Event
Lee E.
Assist: McClean J.
36' Event
McBurnie O.
Assist: Drameh C.

AI Match Summary

Wrexham in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Wrexham
33%
Draws
40%
Hull City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hull City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Wrexham average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Hull City's 1.13.
  • Hull City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Hull City, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 23%
Hull City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wrexham Hull City
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Championship
Wrexham vs Hull City
1:2
Dec 10, 2025 Championship
Hull City vs Wrexham
2:0
Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup
Wrexham vs Hull City
4:3
Feb 19, 2005 League One
Hull City vs Wrexham
2:1
Oct 29, 2004 League One
Wrexham vs Hull City
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wrexham Compare

Top Goalscorer Palmer O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lee E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hull City Compare

Top Goalscorer McBurnie O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndala J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wrexham 29 / 100
Hull City 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wrexham Hull City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HUL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wrexham scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Hull City conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Wrexham has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wrexham VS Hull City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wrexham

(Home)
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2
Leeds
18 Jul
Manchester United
0 : 1
Wrexham
11 Jul
Wisla
0 : 0
Wrexham
02 May
Wrexham
2 : 2
Middlesbrough
26 Apr
Coventry
3 : 1
Wrexham
Page 1 of 6

Hull City

(Away)
28 Jul
Rizespor
1 : 2
Hull City
25 Jul
Konyaspor
0 : 3
Hull City
23 May
Hull City
1 : 0
Middlesbrough
11 May
Millwall
0 : 2
Hull City
08 May
Hull City
0 : 0
Millwall
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Barrow0
Preston1
Wrexham4
Hull City3
Portsmouth1
Reading2
Gillingham1
AFC Wimbledon2
Burnley-
TBD-
West Brom1
Derby2
Cardiff2
Swindon1
Cheltenham2
Exeter0
Wolves-
TBD-
TBD-
West Ham-
Everton-
TBD-
Chesterfield0
Mansfield2
Tranmere1
Burton2
Harrogate1
Lincoln City3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chelsea-
Birmingham2
Sheffield Utd1
Blackpool0
Port Vale1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arsenal-
Barnsley3
Fleetwood Town2
Salford0
Rotherham1
Oxford Utd1
Colchester0
TBD-
Brighton-
Liverpool-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Watford1
Norwich2
Northampton0
Southampton1
Crystal Palace-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newport0
Millwall1
Coventry1
Luton0
Newcastle Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stoke City1
Walsall0
Blackburn1
Bradford City2
Tottenham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Accrington2
Peterborough1
Middlesbrough0
Doncaster4
Wigan1
Notts County0
Stockport County3
Crewe1
Bromley2
Ipswich1
Leyton Orient0
Wycombe1
Fulham-
TBD-
Bristol City2
Milton Keynes Dons0
Bristol Rovers0
Cambridge Utd2
Charlton3
Stevenage1
Swansea3
Crawley Town1
Plymouth3
QPR2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nottingham-
Sunderland-
TBD-
Huddersfield3
Leicester2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Manchester City-
Bolton3
Sheffield Wed4
TBD-
Leeds-
Grimsby3
Shrewsbury1
TBD-
Manchester United-
Bournemouth-
TBD-
TBD-
Brentford-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aston Villa-
1/32-finals
Preston2
Wrexham3
Reading2
AFC Wimbledon1
Burnley2
Derby1
Cardiff3
Cheltenham0
Wolves3
West Ham2
Everton2
Mansfield0
Burton0
Lincoln City1
TBD-
Chelsea-
Birmingham0
Port Vale1
TBD-
Arsenal-
Barnsley2
Rotherham1
Oxford Utd0
Brighton6
Liverpool-
TBD-
Norwich0
Southampton3
Crystal Palace-
TBD-
Millwall2
Coventry1
Newcastle Utd-
TBD-
Stoke City0
Bradford City3
Tottenham-
TBD-
Accrington0
Doncaster2
Wigan1
Stockport County0
Bromley1
Wycombe2
Fulham2
Bristol City0
Cambridge Utd3
Charlton1
Swansea2
Plymouth1
TBD-
Nottingham-
Sunderland1
Huddersfield2
TBD-
Manchester City-
Sheffield Wed2
Leeds1
Grimsby3
Manchester United2
Bournemouth0
Brentford2
TBD-
Aston Villa-
1/16-finals
Wrexham2
Reading0
Burnley1
Cardiff2
Wolves2
Everton0
Lincoln City1
Chelsea2
Port Vale0
Arsenal2
Barnsley0
Brighton6
Liverpool2
Southampton1
Crystal Palace2
Millwall1
Newcastle Utd4
Bradford City1
Tottenham3
Doncaster0
Wigan0
Wycombe2
Fulham1
Cambridge Utd0
Swansea3
Nottingham2
Huddersfield0
Manchester City2
Sheffield Wed0
Grimsby1
Brentford2
Aston Villa1
1/8-finals
Wrexham1
Cardiff2
Wolves3
Chelsea4
Arsenal2
Brighton0
Liverpool0
Crystal Palace3
Newcastle Utd2
Tottenham0
Wycombe1
Fulham2
Swansea1
Manchester City3
Grimsby0
Brentford5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff1
Chelsea3
Arsenal2
Crystal Palace1
Newcastle Utd2
Fulham1
Manchester City2
Brentford0
Semi-finals
Chelsea2
Arsenal4
Newcastle Utd1
Manchester City5
Final
Arsenal0
Manchester City2