Sport Picks

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Wrexham vs Leeds

World World

Premier League Summer Series Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Moore K.
Assist: Thomason G.
8' Event
Piroe J.
Penalty Missed
29' Event
Piroe J.
Assist: Longstaff S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League Summer Series game between Wrexham and Leeds finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wrexham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Wrexham
35%
Draws
28%
Leeds
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wrexham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Leeds carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Leeds a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League Summer Series form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 12%
Leeds Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wrexham Leeds
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Premier League Summer Series
Wrexham vs Leeds
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wrexham Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cadamarteri B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Leeds Compare

Top Goalscorer Piroe J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Longstaff S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wrexham 27 / 100
Leeds 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wrexham Leeds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leeds Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Wrexham scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Leeds has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Wrexham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wrexham VS Leeds
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wrexham

(Home)
19 Sept
Wrexham
2 : 1
Southampton
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0
Wrexham
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3
Wrexham
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Leeds

(Away)
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0
Crystal Palace
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3
Leeds
05 Sept
Brighton
1 : 1
Leeds
30 Aug
Leeds
1 : 1
Brentford
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