Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wrexham vs Leeds

World World

Premier League Summer Series Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Moore K.
Assist: Thomason G.
8' Event
Piroe J.
Penalty Missed
29' Event
Piroe J.
Assist: Longstaff S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League Summer Series game between Wrexham and Leeds finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wrexham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Wrexham
17%
Draws
13%
Leeds
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Wrexham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Wrexham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Wrexham a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League Summer Series form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 18%
Leeds Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wrexham Leeds
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Premier League Summer Series
Wrexham vs Leeds
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wrexham Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cadamarteri B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Leeds Compare

Top Goalscorer Piroe J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Longstaff S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wrexham 67 / 100
Leeds 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wrexham Leeds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wrexham scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Leeds has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Wrexham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wrexham VS Leeds
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wrexham

(Home)
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2
Leeds
18 Jul
Manchester United
0 : 1
Wrexham
11 Jul
Wisla
0 : 0
Wrexham
02 May
Wrexham
2 : 2
Middlesbrough
26 Apr
Coventry
3 : 1
Wrexham
Page 1 of 6

Leeds

(Away)
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2
Leeds
24 May
West Ham
3 : 0
Leeds
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0
Brighton
11 May
Tottenham
1 : 1
Leeds
01 May
Leeds
3 : 1
Burnley
Page 1 of 6