Sport Picks
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Racecourse Ground, Wrexham 
Match Events
60'
60'
Sub
Berhalter S. In: Peart-Harris M.
Out: Berhalter S.
60'
60'
Sub
Ayling L. In: Arfsten M.
Out: Ayling L.
60'
60'
Sub
Joseph K. In: McGree R.
Out: Joseph K.
AI Match Summary
The Championship game between Wrexham and Middlesbrough finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wrexham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middlesbrough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Middlesbrough come out ahead of Wrexham on wins alone.
- Middlesbrough are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 10%
Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wrexham | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 4, 2026 Championship
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
2:0
Aug 7, 2026 EFL Cup
Middlesbrough vs Wrexham
1:0
May 2, 2026 Championship
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
Middlesbrough vs Wrexham
1:1
Dec 10, 1999 FA Cup
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wrexham Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomason G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rathbone O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Middlesbrough Compare
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wrexham 26 / 100
Middlesbrough 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wrexham Middlesbrough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Middlesbrough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Wrexham scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Middlesbrough has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Wrexham has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Wrexham VS Middlesbrough
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Wrexham
(Home) 04 Nov
Wrexham
2 : 0 Middlesbrough
30 Oct
Sheffield Utd
1 : 0 Wrexham
24 Oct
Blackburn
2 : 0 Wrexham
17 Oct
Wrexham
4 : 1 Preston
13 Oct
Wrexham
1 : 2 West Brom
Page 1 of 6
04 Nov
Wrexham
2 : 0 Middlesbrough
17 Oct
Wrexham
4 : 1 Preston
13 Oct
Wrexham
1 : 2 West Brom
19 Sept
Wrexham
2 : 1 Southampton
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1 Burnley
Page 1 of 3
Middlesbrough
(Away) 04 Nov
Wrexham
2 : 0 Middlesbrough
31 Oct
Middlesbrough
3 : 0 Charlton
23 Oct
Bolton
1 : 5 Middlesbrough
17 Oct
Middlesbrough
2 : 2 Cardiff
13 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 3 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6
04 Nov
Wrexham
2 : 0 Middlesbrough
23 Oct
Bolton
1 : 5 Middlesbrough
13 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 3 Middlesbrough
19 Sept
Birmingham
2 : 2 Middlesbrough
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolves | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 | West Brom | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
