Sport Picks
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
England
Championship 2025/2026 Racecourse Ground, Wrexham 
Match Events
4'
4'
Conway T.
28'
28'
Windass J.
41'
41'
Smith S.
Assist: Kabore I.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Wrexham and Middlesbrough finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Wrexham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Wrexham carry the better recent record into this one.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Wrexham taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 19%
Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wrexham | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Championship
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
Middlesbrough vs Wrexham
1:1
Dec 10, 1999 FA Cup
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wrexham Compare
Top Goalscorer Windass J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Smith S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Middlesbrough Compare
Top Goalscorer Conway T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Strelec D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wrexham 76 / 100
Middlesbrough 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wrexham Middlesbrough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Wrexham scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Middlesbrough has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Wrexham has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Wrexham VS Middlesbrough
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Wrexham
(Home) 25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2 Leeds
18 Jul
Manchester United
0 : 1 Wrexham
11 Jul
Wisla
0 : 0 Wrexham
02 May
Wrexham
2 : 2 Middlesbrough
26 Apr
Coventry
3 : 1 Wrexham
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2 Leeds
02 May
Wrexham
2 : 2 Middlesbrough
18 Apr
Wrexham
2 : 0 Stoke City
07 Apr
Wrexham
1 : 5 Southampton
13 Mar
Wrexham
2 : 0 Swansea
Page 1 of 3
Middlesbrough
(Away) 25 Jul
Middlesbrough
1 : 3 Huddersfield
18 Jul
Celtic
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
23 May
Hull City
1 : 0 Middlesbrough
12 May
Southampton
2 : 1 Middlesbrough
09 May
Middlesbrough
0 : 0 Southampton
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Celtic
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
23 May
Hull City
1 : 0 Middlesbrough
12 May
Southampton
2 : 1 Middlesbrough
02 May
Wrexham
2 : 2 Middlesbrough
19 Apr
Ipswich
2 : 2 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
