Sport Picks
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
England
Championship 2025/2026 Racecourse Ground, Wrexham 
Match Events
4'
4'
Conway T.
28'
28'
Windass J.
41'
41'
Smith S.
Assist: Kabore I.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Wrexham and Middlesbrough finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Middlesbrough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Middlesbrough's 1.59 goals per match outpaces what Wrexham have produced (1.31).
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 20%
Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wrexham | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 EFL Cup
Middlesbrough vs Wrexham
1:0
May 2, 2026 Championship
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
Middlesbrough vs Wrexham
1:1
Dec 10, 1999 FA Cup
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wrexham Compare
Top Goalscorer Windass J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Smith S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Middlesbrough Compare
Top Goalscorer Conway T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Strelec D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wrexham 36 / 100
Middlesbrough 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wrexham Middlesbrough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Middlesbrough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Wrexham scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Middlesbrough has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Wrexham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Wrexham VS Middlesbrough
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Wrexham
(Home) 11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0 Wrexham
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1 Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3 Wrexham
28 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 2 Birmingham
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1 Burnley
28 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 2 Birmingham
22 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 1 Watford
02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1 Sunderland
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2 Leeds
Page 1 of 3
Middlesbrough
(Away) 15 Sept
Middlesbrough
2 : 2 Millwall
12 Sept
Middlesbrough
4 : 3 Norwich
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0 Middlesbrough
05 Sept
QPR
0 : 1 Middlesbrough
02 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0 Middlesbrough
05 Sept
QPR
0 : 1 Middlesbrough
02 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
25 Aug
Doncaster
1 : 3 Middlesbrough
22 Aug
Blackburn
2 : 1 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
