Sport Picks
Wrexham vs Oxford Utd
England
Championship 2025/2026 Racecourse Ground, Wrexham 
Match Events
14'
14'
Broadhead N.
Assist: Moore K.
37'
37'
Hyam D.
46'
46'
Sub
Mills S. In: Lankshear W.
Out: Mills S.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Wrexham and Oxford Utd finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wrexham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oxford Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Wrexham come out ahead of Oxford Utd on wins alone.
- Oxford Utd are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 17%
Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wrexham | Oxford Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2026 Championship
Oxford Utd vs Wrexham
0:1
Oct 22, 2025 Championship
Wrexham vs Oxford Utd
1:0
Dec 9, 2013 FA Cup
Wrexham vs Oxford Utd
1:2
Apr 20, 2010 National League
Oxford Utd vs Wrexham
1:0
Sep 12, 2009 National League
Wrexham vs Oxford Utd
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wrexham Compare
Top Goalscorer Broadhead N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Oxford Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wrexham 23 / 100
Oxford Utd 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wrexham Oxford Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick OXF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Wrexham scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Oxford Utd has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Solid form: Wrexham remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Wrexham VS Oxford Utd
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Wrexham
(Home) 07 Aug
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 Wrexham
02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1 Sunderland
29 Jul
Liverpool
1 : 0 Wrexham
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2 Leeds
18 Jul
Manchester United
0 : 1 Wrexham
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1 Sunderland
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2 Leeds
02 May
Wrexham
2 : 2 Middlesbrough
18 Apr
Wrexham
2 : 0 Stoke City
07 Apr
Wrexham
1 : 5 Southampton
Page 1 of 3
Oxford Utd
(Away) 08 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 Oxford Utd
01 Aug
Oxford Utd
2 : 0 Ipswich
28 Jul
Oxford Utd
3 : 1 Crawley Town
25 Jul
Barnet
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
21 Jul
Aldershot
1 : 3 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 Oxford Utd
25 Jul
Barnet
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
21 Jul
Aldershot
1 : 3 Oxford Utd
02 May
Millwall
2 : 0 Oxford Utd
18 Apr
Derby
1 : 0 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
