Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Thomason G.
45'
45'
Sub
Garcia A. In: Ryan J.
Out: Garcia A.
57'
57'
Broadhead N.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Wrexham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Reading
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Wrexham come out ahead of Reading on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Reading's way, sitting at 40%.
- Wrexham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Wrexham, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 20%
Reading Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wrexham | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2025 EFL Cup
Wrexham vs Reading
2:0
Mar 11, 2025 League One
Reading vs Wrexham
2:0
Aug 24, 2024 League One
Wrexham vs Reading
3:0
Dec 29, 2001 League One
Wrexham vs Reading
0:2
Nov 6, 2001 League One
Reading vs Wrexham
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wrexham Compare
Top Goalscorer Broadhead N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Smith S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Reading Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wrexham 28 / 100
Reading 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wrexham Reading
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick REA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wrexham scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Reading let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Wrexham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Wrexham VS Reading
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Wrexham
(Home) 29 Jul
Liverpool
1 : 0 Wrexham
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2 Leeds
18 Jul
Manchester United
0 : 1 Wrexham
11 Jul
Wisla
0 : 0 Wrexham
02 May
Wrexham
2 : 2 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2 Leeds
02 May
Wrexham
2 : 2 Middlesbrough
18 Apr
Wrexham
2 : 0 Stoke City
07 Apr
Wrexham
1 : 5 Southampton
13 Mar
Wrexham
2 : 0 Swansea
Page 1 of 3
Reading
(Away) 28 Jul
Newport
0 : 4 Reading
25 Jul
Woking
0 : 2 Reading
17 Jul
Getafe
1 : 0 Reading
11 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 2 Reading
02 May
Reading
0 : 1 Blackpool
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Newport
0 : 4 Reading
25 Jul
Woking
0 : 2 Reading
17 Jul
Getafe
1 : 0 Reading
11 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 2 Reading
25 Apr
Rotherham
1 : 1 Reading
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
