Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Thomason G.
45'
45'
Sub
Garcia A. In: Ryan J.
Out: Garcia A.
57'
57'
Broadhead N.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Wrexham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Reading
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Reading come out ahead of Wrexham on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Reading's way, sitting at 90%.
- Reading arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Wrexham, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 14%
Reading Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wrexham | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2025 EFL Cup
Wrexham vs Reading
2:0
Mar 11, 2025 League One
Reading vs Wrexham
2:0
Aug 24, 2024 League One
Wrexham vs Reading
3:0
Dec 29, 2001 League One
Wrexham vs Reading
0:2
Nov 6, 2001 League One
Reading vs Wrexham
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wrexham Compare
Top Goalscorer Broadhead N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Smith S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Reading Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wrexham 10 / 100
Reading 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wrexham Reading
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Reading Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wrexham scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Reading let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Wrexham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Wrexham VS Reading
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Wrexham
(Home) 11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0 Wrexham
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1 Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3 Wrexham
28 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 2 Birmingham
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1 Burnley
28 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 2 Birmingham
22 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 1 Watford
02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1 Sunderland
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2 Leeds
Page 1 of 3
Reading
(Away) 15 Sept
Reading
1 : 2 Brentford
12 Sept
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1 Reading
05 Sept
Reading
3 : 1 Blackpool
02 Sept
Reading
5 : 0 Mansfield
25 Aug
Stevenage
0 : 3 Reading
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1 Reading
25 Aug
Stevenage
0 : 3 Reading
22 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Reading
08 Aug
Bromley
1 : 2 Reading
31 Jul
Crawley Town
0 : 1 Reading
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
