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Wrexham vs Sunderland

World World

Premier League Summer Series Subaru Park, Chester, PA
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wrexham host Sunderland in the Premier League Summer Series. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Sunderland have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Wrexham have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.25. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.50, favoring Wrexham. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Wrexham
44%
Draws
20%
Sunderland
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wrexham come out ahead of Sunderland on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 16%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wrexham Sunderland
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wrexham 36 / 100
Sunderland 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wrexham Sunderland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wrexham scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Sunderland let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Wrexham has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Sunderland has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wrexham VS Sunderland
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wrexham

(Home)
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2
Leeds
18 Jul
Manchester United
0 : 1
Wrexham
11 Jul
Wisla
0 : 0
Wrexham
02 May
Wrexham
2 : 2
Middlesbrough
26 Apr
Coventry
3 : 1
Wrexham
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Sunderland

(Away)
25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2
Sunderland
18 Jul
York City
1 : 5
Sunderland
24 May
Sunderland
2 : 1
Chelsea
17 May
Everton
1 : 3
Sunderland
09 May
Sunderland
0 : 0
Manchester United
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