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Wrexham vs Sunderland

World World

Premier League Summer Series Subaru Park, Chester, PA
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Hyam D.
34' Event
Mukiele N.
Assist: Brobbey B.
46'
Sub
Mundle R. In: Angulo N.
Out: Mundle R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League Summer Series game between Wrexham and Sunderland finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sunderland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Wrexham
30%
Draws
33%
Sunderland
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wrexham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sunderland come out ahead of Wrexham on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 20%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wrexham Sunderland
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Premier League Summer Series
Wrexham vs Sunderland
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wrexham Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Sunderland Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukiele N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wrexham 32 / 100
Sunderland 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wrexham Sunderland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wrexham scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sunderland let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Wrexham has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Wrexham VS Sunderland
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wrexham

(Home)
19 Sept
Wrexham
2 : 1
Southampton
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0
Wrexham
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3
Wrexham
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Sunderland

(Away)
20 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 3
Sunderland
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2
Arsenal
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
Hull City
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1
Sunderland
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