Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Kjerrumgaard L.
Assist: Traore O. H.
20'
20'
Broadhead N.
22'
22'
Imray D.
AI Match Summary
The Championship game between Wrexham and Watford finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wrexham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Wrexham come out ahead of Watford on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Wrexham's way, sitting at 60%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 16%
Watford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wrexham | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Championship
Wrexham vs Watford
1:1
Mar 17, 2026 Championship
Watford vs Wrexham
3:1
Dec 13, 2025 Championship
Wrexham vs Watford
2:2
Apr 11, 1998 League One
Watford vs Wrexham
1:0
Dec 2, 1997 League One
Wrexham vs Watford
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wrexham Compare
Top Goalscorer Imray D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Watford Compare
Top Goalscorer Kjerrumgaard L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wrexham 57 / 100
Watford 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wrexham Watford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wrexham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Watford conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Wrexham's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Watford's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Wrexham VS Watford
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Wrexham
(Home) 04 Nov
Wrexham
2 : 0 Middlesbrough
30 Oct
Sheffield Utd
1 : 0 Wrexham
24 Oct
Blackburn
2 : 0 Wrexham
17 Oct
Wrexham
4 : 1 Preston
13 Oct
Wrexham
1 : 2 West Brom
Page 1 of 6
04 Nov
Wrexham
2 : 0 Middlesbrough
17 Oct
Wrexham
4 : 1 Preston
13 Oct
Wrexham
1 : 2 West Brom
19 Sept
Wrexham
2 : 1 Southampton
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1 Burnley
Page 1 of 3
Watford
(Away) 03 Nov
Watford
1 : 0 Lincoln City
31 Oct
Norwich
3 : 2 Watford
24 Oct
Wolves
1 : 0 Watford
17 Oct
Watford
2 : 0 Charlton
13 Oct
Cardiff
5 : 1 Watford
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Norwich
3 : 2 Watford
24 Oct
Wolves
1 : 0 Watford
13 Oct
Cardiff
5 : 1 Watford
18 Sept
Bristol City
1 : 0 Watford
05 Sept
West Brom
1 : 0 Watford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolves | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 | West Brom | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
