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Wuhan Three Towns vs Liaoning Tieren

China China

Super League Wuhan Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gustavo Sauer
Assist: Cadiz J.
24'
Sub
Pang Shenghan In: Jeffinho
Out: Pang Shenghan
27' Event
Yan Dinghao
Assist: Jeffinho

AI Match Summary

Wuhan Three Towns host Liaoning Tieren in the Super League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Liaoning Tieren have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Wuhan Three Towns have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Wuhan Three Towns slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.88) point toward Liaoning Tieren. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Wuhan Three Towns
39%
Draws
31%
Liaoning Tieren
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Liaoning Tieren has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Wuhan Three Towns.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Wuhan Three Towns Clean Sheet 68%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wuhan Three Towns Liaoning Tieren
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 4 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Liaoning Tieren
2:2
Jun 5, 2021 League One
Wuhan Three Towns vs Liaoning Tieren
2:3
May 11, 2021 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Wuhan Three Towns
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wuhan Three Towns Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Sauer
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cadiz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Liaoning Tieren Compare

Top Goalscorer Yan Dinghao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kouame A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wuhan Three Towns 41 / 100
Liaoning Tieren 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wuhan Three Towns Liaoning Tieren

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WUH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wuhan Three Towns scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Liaoning Tieren let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Wuhan Three Towns went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Liaoning Tieren lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wuhan Three Towns VS Liaoning Tieren
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng18133238:1742
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1877422:2028
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
5Yunnan Yukun1873834:3324
6Qingdao West Coast1859422:2824
7Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
8Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
9Shenzhen Xinpengcheng18621025:3120
10Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
11Zhejiang Professional1764723:2917
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1763827:2814
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348