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Stadium Background

Wurges vs Bad Hersfeld

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 game between Wurges and Bad Hersfeld finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wurges.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Wurges
15%
Draws
0%
Bad Hersfeld
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wurges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bad Hersfeld haven't matched Wurges's recent run of results.
  • Wurges are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Wurges Clean Sheet 20%
Bad Hersfeld Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wurges Bad Hersfeld
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 1.51 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.59 3.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs Bad Hersfeld
1:0
Aug 22, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Bad Hersfeld vs Wurges
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wurges 85 / 100
Bad Hersfeld 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wurges Bad Hersfeld

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wurges Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bad Hersfeld conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Bad Hersfeld's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Wurges scored in 76% of their last 37 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Wurges VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wurges

(Home)
28 May
FCA Darmstadt
0 : 1
Wurges
21 May
Wurges
3 : 1
Hunfelder
14 May
Wurges
2 : 1
Vellmar
07 May
Schwalmstadt
2 : 1
Wurges
29 Apr
Wurges
0 : 2
Waldgirmes
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Bad Hersfeld

(Away)
29 May
Hunfelder
3 : 2
Bad Hersfeld
22 May
Bad Hersfeld
1 : 2
TSG Worsdorf 1887
15 May
RW Frankfurt
7 : 0
Bad Hersfeld
08 May
Bad Hersfeld
0 : 3
Aschaffenburg
01 May
Klein-Karben
5 : 1
Bad Hersfeld
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