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Stadium Background

Wurges vs Schwalmstadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 game between Wurges and Schwalmstadt finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wurges.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Wurges
15%
Draws
8%
Schwalmstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wurges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Wurges carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Wurges are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Wurges here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Wurges Clean Sheet 20%
Schwalmstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wurges Schwalmstadt
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 2
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 26
Goals Scored 1.33 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2011 Oberliga Hessen
Schwalmstadt vs Wurges
2:1
Oct 16, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs Schwalmstadt
1:0
Nov 14, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs Schwalmstadt
2:1
Jul 25, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Schwalmstadt vs Wurges
0:4
Apr 19, 2008 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs Schwalmstadt
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wurges 85 / 100
Schwalmstadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wurges Schwalmstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wurges Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Schwalmstadt conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Wurges's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Wurges went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Schwalmstadt
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wurges

(Home)
28 May
FCA Darmstadt
0 : 1
Wurges
21 May
Wurges
3 : 1
Hunfelder
14 May
Wurges
2 : 1
Vellmar
07 May
Schwalmstadt
2 : 1
Wurges
29 Apr
Wurges
0 : 2
Waldgirmes
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Schwalmstadt

(Away)
13 Sept
Schwalmstadt
0 : 0
Kassel
23 May
Schwalmstadt
0 : 1
Alzenau
16 May
Schwalmstadt
0 : 3
TSV Steinbach Haiger
09 May
Ederbergland
4 : 2
Schwalmstadt
02 May
Schwalmstadt
2 : 3
Flieden
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