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Stadium Background

Wurges vs Schwalmstadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 game between Wurges and Schwalmstadt finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wurges.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Wurges
6%
Draws
4%
Schwalmstadt
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wurges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Wurges carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Wurges are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Wurges here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Wurges Clean Sheet 20%
Schwalmstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wurges Schwalmstadt
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 2
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 26
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2011 Oberliga Hessen
Schwalmstadt vs Wurges
2:1
Oct 16, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs Schwalmstadt
1:0
Nov 14, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs Schwalmstadt
2:1
Jul 25, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Schwalmstadt vs Wurges
0:4
Apr 19, 2008 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs Schwalmstadt
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wurges 85 / 100
Schwalmstadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wurges Schwalmstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Schwalmstadt conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Wurges's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Wurges went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Schwalmstadt
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wurges

(Home)
28 May
FCA Darmstadt
0 : 1
Wurges
21 May
Wurges
3 : 1
Hunfelder
14 May
Wurges
2 : 1
Vellmar
07 May
Schwalmstadt
2 : 1
Wurges
29 Apr
Wurges
0 : 2
Waldgirmes
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Schwalmstadt

(Away)
13 Sept
Schwalmstadt
0 : 0
Kassel
23 May
Schwalmstadt
0 : 1
Alzenau
16 May
Schwalmstadt
0 : 3
TSV Steinbach Haiger
09 May
Ederbergland
4 : 2
Schwalmstadt
02 May
Schwalmstadt
2 : 3
Flieden
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