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Wydad Athletic vs Nairobi United

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup Stade Larbi Zaouli
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wydad Athletic play Nairobi United in the CAF Confederation Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wydad Athletic averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Nairobi United averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.05 conceded. In past meetings, Wydad Athletic won 2, Nairobi United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Wydad Athletic and 0.78 for Nairobi United. This points to a Wydad Athletic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Wydad Athletic
22%
Draws
34%
Nairobi United
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Wydad Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Wydad Athletic picked up more points recently compared to Nairobi United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.78 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Wydad Athletic Clean Sheet 26%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wydad Athletic Nairobi United
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 11
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Nairobi United vs Wydad Athletic
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Wydad Athletic vs Nairobi United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wydad Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Boucheta A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouchouari M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nairobi United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wydad Athletic 45 / 100
Nairobi United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wydad Athletic Nairobi United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wydad Athletic or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wydad Athletic attacking → ← attacking Nairobi United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wydad Athletic scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Nairobi United let in goals in 70% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Wydad Athletic went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Nairobi United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 50
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.67
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.83

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1USM Alger64209:414
2Olympique de Safi64117:413
3Djoliba61145:74
4San Pedro61058:143
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wydad Athletic65019:215
2AS Maniema64028:312
3Azam63034:69
4Nairobi United60061:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CR Belouizdad650111:515
2Otoho d'Oyo630310:69
3Singida Black Stars61233:65
4Stellenbosch FC61232:95
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zamalek63216:411
2Al Masry63129:710
3Kaizer Chiefs63127:610
4Zesco61053:83