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Wynnum Wolves vs Peninsula

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Carmichael Park, Tingalpa
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Nash F.
16' Event
Woolley J.
31' Event
Miyazawa H.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland game between Wynnum Wolves and Peninsula finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Wynnum Wolves
35%
Draws
18%
Peninsula
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wynnum Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Peninsula carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Wynnum Wolves a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Wynnum Wolves Clean Sheet 11%
Peninsula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wynnum Wolves Peninsula
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.77 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Wynnum Wolves
0:0
Mar 13, 2026 NPL Queensland
Wynnum Wolves vs Peninsula
2:2
Jul 19, 2025 NPL Queensland
Wynnum Wolves vs Peninsula
1:1
Jun 25, 2025 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Wynnum Wolves
1:4
Jun 1, 2024 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Wynnum Wolves
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wynnum Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Nash F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duckworth J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Peninsula Compare

Top Goalscorer Woolley J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miyazawa H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wynnum Wolves 65 / 100
Peninsula 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wynnum Wolves Peninsula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wynnum Wolves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Wynnum Wolves found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Peninsula conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Wynnum Wolves has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wynnum Wolves VS Peninsula
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wynnum Wolves

(Home)
14 Aug
Wynnum Wolves
0 : 3
Magic United TFA FC
08 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 0
Wynnum Wolves
31 Jul
Wynnum Wolves
5 : 2
Brisbane City
18 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 2
Wynnum Wolves
10 Jul
Peninsula
0 : 0
Wynnum Wolves
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Peninsula

(Away)
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2
Brisbane City
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2
Peninsula
01 Aug
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
18 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 2
Peninsula
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)