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Wynnum Wolves vs Rochedale

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Carmichael Park
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Kljajic O.
90' Event
Martins L.

AI Match Summary

Wynnum Wolves host Rochedale in the NPL Queensland. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Wynnum Wolves have averaged 1.75 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Rochedale's 1.88 scored and 2.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Wynnum Wolves slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 3, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 2.00) point toward Wynnum Wolves. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Wynnum Wolves
44%
Draws
20%
Rochedale
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Wynnum Wolves has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Rochedale.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Queensland provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Wynnum Wolves Clean Sheet 10%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wynnum Wolves Rochedale
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 NPL Queensland
Wynnum Wolves vs Rochedale
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Wynnum Wolves
0:3
Jun 7, 2024 NPL Queensland
Wynnum Wolves vs Rochedale
2:1
Mar 9, 2024 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Wynnum Wolves
1:4
Jul 6, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Wynnum Wolves vs Rochedale
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wynnum Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rochedale Compare

Top Goalscorer Kljajic O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wynnum Wolves 34 / 100
Rochedale 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wynnum Wolves Rochedale

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wynnum Wolves scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Rochedale let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Wynnum Wolves went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rochedale lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wynnum Wolves VS Rochedale
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Peninsula18133243:2042
2Queensland Lions17122348:2038
3Moreton City Excelsior18112547:2835
4Gold Coast Knights SC16102440:2532
5Eastern Suburbs1791732:2628
6Brisbane City1775538:3926
7Wynnum Wolves1875629:3426
8Olympic FC1762931:3520
9Rochedale18431127:4515
10Brisbane Roar U2318411326:4313
11Magic United TFA FC18411324:5413
12Gold Coast Utd16311219:3510