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Wynnum Wolves vs Rochedale

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Carmichael Park, Tingalpa
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Kljajic O.
90' Event
Martins L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Wynnum Wolves
20%
Draws
34%
Rochedale
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wynnum Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Wynnum Wolves have won more games recently than Rochedale.
  • Model gives Wynnum Wolves a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Wynnum Wolves Clean Sheet 13%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wynnum Wolves Rochedale
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.77 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 NPL Queensland
Wynnum Wolves vs Rochedale
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Wynnum Wolves
0:3
Jun 7, 2024 NPL Queensland
Wynnum Wolves vs Rochedale
2:1
Mar 9, 2024 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Wynnum Wolves
1:4
Jul 6, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Wynnum Wolves vs Rochedale
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wynnum Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Rochedale Compare

Top Goalscorer Kljajic O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wynnum Wolves 66 / 100
Rochedale 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wynnum Wolves Rochedale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wynnum Wolves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochedale has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Wynnum Wolves's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Wynnum Wolves remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wynnum Wolves VS Rochedale
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wynnum Wolves

(Home)
14 Aug
Wynnum Wolves
0 : 3
Magic United TFA FC
08 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 0
Wynnum Wolves
31 Jul
Wynnum Wolves
5 : 2
Brisbane City
18 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 2
Wynnum Wolves
10 Jul
Peninsula
0 : 0
Wynnum Wolves
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Rochedale

(Away)
14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Rochedale
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1
Rochedale
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1
Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3
Brisbane City
14 Jul
Rochedale
1 : 2
SD Raiders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)