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Xaghra vs Hamrun

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2020/2021
Xaghra Logo

Xaghra

0 - 6
FT
Hamrun Logo

Hamrun

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sasere F.
34' Event
Adeshina I.
37' Event
Sasere F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hamrun in this FA Trophy 2020/2021 tie, finishing 0-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Xaghra
15%
Draws
85%
Hamrun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamrun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hamrun lately — more wins on the board than Xaghra.
  • Win probability leans Hamrun's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Hamrun arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hamrun, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Xaghra Clean Sheet 10%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xaghra Hamrun
Matches Played 19 32
Wins 6 16
Draws 0 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.74 1.75
Goals Conceded 3 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2021 FA Trophy
Xaghra vs Hamrun
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xaghra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Hamrun Compare

Top Goalscorer Sasere F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Adeshina I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xaghra 10 / 100
Hamrun 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xaghra Hamrun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamrun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Xaghra's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hamrun conceded in 53% of 32 recent games.

Hamrun lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xaghra VS Hamrun
2 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Xaghra

(Home)
18 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
4 : 2
Xaghra
07 Dec
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 1
Xaghra
10 Jan
Xaghra
1 : 5
Victoria Hotspurs
13 Dec
Msida
5 : 1
Xaghra
03 Mar
Xaghra
0 : 6
Hamrun
Page 1 of 4

Hamrun

(Away)
18 Sept
Hamrun
4 : 1
Marsaxlokk
11 Sept
Birzebbuga
0 : 2
Hamrun
06 Sept
Zabbar
1 : 2
Hamrun
29 Aug
Hamrun
1 : 1
Floriana
22 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 0
Hamrun
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 5
San Gwann 3
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Ghajnsielem 3
Pieta 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa 0
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Naxxar Lions 2
Qrendi 0
TBD -
Swieqi -
St. Andrews 1
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Sliema -
St. George's FC 1
Pembroke 3
Marsaxlokk 3
Victoria Wanderers 0
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birzebbuga 2
Siggiewi 1
TBD -
Xaghra -
Sannat Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Nadur 3
Msida 1
TBD -
Senglea -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Oratory 1
Zebbug 8
Kercem Ajax 0
Marsa 3
Sirens -
TBD -
Xewkija 0
Fgura 3
1/16-finals
Gzira 8
Mqabba FC 0
Qormi 0
Tarxien 3
Ghajnsielem 2
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Birkirkara 6
Lija 0
Naxxar Lions 6
Swieqi 1
St. Andrews 1
Sliema 0
Pembroke 4
Marsaxlokk 2
Hibernians 3
Zejtun 0
Floriana 1
Santa Lucia 3
Balzan FC 1
Mosta FC 3
Birzebbuga 1
Xaghra 4
Sannat Lions 1
Hamrun 3
Nadur 2
Senglea 3
Valletta 2
Gudja 1
Zebbug 0
Marsa 1
Sirens 5
Fgura 0
1/8-finals
Gzira 4
Tarxien 2
Ghajnsielem 1
Birkirkara 4
Naxxar Lions 0
St. Andrews 1
Pembroke 0
Hibernians 1
Santa Lucia 0
Mosta FC 2
Xaghra 0
Hamrun 6
Senglea 0
Valletta 1
Marsa 0
Sirens 1
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -