Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Xamax host Aarau in the Challenge League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Aarau have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Xamax have conceded 1.9 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Aarau slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 28, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.69) back Aarau to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Aarau come out ahead of Xamax on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Aarau's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
- History favors Aarau here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Xamax | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Xamax scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Aarau conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Xamax remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Xamax
(Home)Aarau
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lausanne Ouchy | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Winterthur | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:9 | 16 |
| 4 | Kriens | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 5 | Aarau | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 6 | Xamax | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:17 | 12 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 8 | Etoile-Carouge | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Wil | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:21 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:23 | 2 |
