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Xamax vs Lausanne Ouchy

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade de la Maladière, Neuchâtel
Fri, Aug 21, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xamax host Lausanne Ouchy in the Challenge League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Xamax at 1.75 goals for, 2.13 against; Lausanne Ouchy at 2 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Lausanne Ouchy slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 2.06, favoring Lausanne Ouchy. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Xamax
28%
Draws
50%
Lausanne Ouchy
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lausanne Ouchy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Xamax haven't matched Lausanne Ouchy's recent run of results.
  • Lausanne Ouchy are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Xamax Clean Sheet 10%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xamax Lausanne Ouchy
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Xamax
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Challenge League
Xamax vs Lausanne Ouchy
3:0
Dec 10, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Xamax
3:0
Oct 3, 2025 Challenge League
Xamax vs Lausanne Ouchy
0:2
Apr 18, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Xamax
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xamax 22 / 100
Lausanne Ouchy 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xamax Lausanne Ouchy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xamax scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Lausanne Ouchy has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Xamax remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Xamax VS Lausanne Ouchy
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Xamax

(Home)
24 Jul
Xamax
3 : 2
Kriens
11 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 2
Xamax
04 Jul
Thun
6 : 2
Xamax
01 Jul
Xamax
2 : 4
Sion
27 Jun
Lugano
2 : 1
Xamax
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Lausanne Ouchy

(Away)
24 Jul
Lausanne Ouchy
2 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
17 Jul
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 1
Servette U21
11 Jul
Zurich
1 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
08 Jul
Servette
2 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
27 Jun
Luzern
3 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Etoile-Carouge11003:03
2Lausanne Ouchy11002:03
3Wil11005:43
4Xamax11003:23
5Winterthur10102:21
6Yverdon10102:21
7Rapperswil-Jona10014:50
8Kriens10012:30
9Stade Nyonnais10010:20
10Aarau10010:30
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)