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Xamax vs Lausanne Ouchy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade de la Maladière, Neuchâtel
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Diomande B.
4' Event
Sow C.
Assist: Bouchlarhem T.
12'
Conus B.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League game between Xamax and Lausanne Ouchy finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lausanne Ouchy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Xamax
20%
Draws
52%
Lausanne Ouchy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lausanne Ouchy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Xamax haven't matched Lausanne Ouchy's recent run of results.
  • Lausanne Ouchy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Lausanne Ouchy have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Xamax Clean Sheet 10%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xamax Lausanne Ouchy
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 1 6
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.61 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Challenge League
Xamax vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:2
May 15, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Xamax
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Challenge League
Xamax vs Lausanne Ouchy
3:0
Dec 10, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Xamax
3:0
Oct 3, 2025 Challenge League
Xamax vs Lausanne Ouchy
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xamax Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Lausanne Ouchy Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bah K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xamax 10 / 100
Lausanne Ouchy 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xamax Lausanne Ouchy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lausanne Ouchy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Xamax scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Lausanne Ouchy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Xamax went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xamax VS Lausanne Ouchy
1 Goals Scored 3
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Xamax

(Home)
09 Oct
Xamax
3 : 0
Winterthur
02 Oct
Sochaux
2 : 1
Xamax
25 Sept
Zurich
3 : 1
Xamax
18 Sept
Xamax
0 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
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Lausanne Ouchy

(Away)
09 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Lausanne Ouchy
02 Oct
Grenoble
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
24 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 2
Sion
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 10 7 3 0 20:3 24
2 Yverdon 10 5 4 1 16:9 19
3 Winterthur 10 5 3 2 19:11 18
4 Kriens 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
5 Xamax 10 5 0 5 15:17 15
6 Aarau 10 3 3 4 15:18 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 10 3 1 6 15:19 10
8 Wil 10 2 4 4 16:22 10
9 Etoile-Carouge 10 2 3 5 8:14 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 10 1 2 7 8:24 5
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)