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Xayr Vahdat vs Istiqlol Dushanbe

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga 2016 game between Xayr Vahdat and Istiqlol Dushanbe finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Xayr Vahdat
33%
Draws
27%
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Xayr Vahdat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Istiqlol Dushanbe come out ahead of Xayr Vahdat on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Xayr Vahdat taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Xayr Vahdat Clean Sheet 10%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xayr Vahdat Istiqlol Dushanbe
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 9 20
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 0 3.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2016 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Xayr Vahdat
4:1
May 22, 2016 Vysshaya Liga
Xayr Vahdat vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
0:0
Jan 17, 2016 Vysshaya Liga
Xayr Vahdat vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
0:0
Aug 9, 2015 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Xayr Vahdat
8:0
Jun 24, 2015 Vysshaya Liga
Xayr Vahdat vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xayr Vahdat 38 / 100
Istiqlol Dushanbe 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xayr Vahdat Istiqlol Dushanbe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xayr Vahdat has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Xayr Vahdat scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Istiqlol Dushanbe conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Istiqlol Dushanbe
0 Goals Scored 3.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Istiqlol Dushanbe18143167:2045
2Khosilot Parkhar18114340:1637
3Regar-TadAZ18102636:2332
4Barkchi Hisor1892732:2529
5Xayr Vahdat1885529:2529
6CSKA Pomir Dushanbe1883723:1627
7Khujand1881922:3725
8Vakhsh18531021:3918
9Ravshan Kulob18231317:509
10Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov18121514:505