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Xelaju vs Aurora F.C. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Cardenas S.
30'
Mingorance P.
36'
Diaz Y.

AI Match Summary

Xelaju in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xelaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Xelaju
15%
Draws
26%
Aurora F.C.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Xelaju have won more games recently than Aurora F.C..
  • Xelaju are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 68%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xelaju Aurora F.C.
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.71 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Xelaju
2:1
Aug 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Aurora F.C.
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Xelaju
0:0
Jan 21, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Aurora F.C.
4:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Xelaju
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xelaju Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardenas S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Aurora F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xelaju 95 / 100
Aurora F.C. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xelaju Aurora F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xelaju's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Aurora F.C. has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Xelaju stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xelaju VS Aurora F.C.
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Xelaju

(Home)
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
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Aurora F.C.

(Away)
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 13 5 3 5 25:16 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Aurora F.C. 13 5 0 8 19:22 15
9 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
10 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)